Football · Senegal Premier League · 17/10, 19:00
Prediction: ASC Jaraaf vs Ajel de Rufisque
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.46Total
ASC Jaraaf0.86
Ajel de Rufisque0.6
1X2
ASC Jaraaf
Draw
Ajel de Rufisque
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0 24%
Recent form · 10 last
ASC Jaraaf
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Ajel de Rufisque
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASC Jaraaf
2–2–2
Ajel de Rufisque
(6 last)
- Ajel de Rufisque1-0ASC Jaraaf
- ASC Jaraaf0-2Ajel de Rufisque
- Ajel de Rufisque0-1ASC Jaraaf
- Ajel de Rufisque0-0ASC Jaraaf
- ASC Jaraaf2-0Ajel de Rufisque
- ASC Jaraaf1-1Ajel de Rufisque
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASC Jaraaf 1510 · Ajel de Rufisque 1524
| ASC Jaraaf | Draw | Ajel de Rufisque | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 39% | 22% |
| Market | 41% | 34% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.46 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASC Jaraaf | Ajel de Rufisque | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 6 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASC Jaraaf 2–2–2 Ajel de Rufisque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Senegal Premier League | Ajel de Rufisque | 1-0 HT 1-0 | ASC Jaraaf |
| 16/11/25 Senegal Premier League | ASC Jaraaf | 0-2 | Ajel de Rufisque |
| 12/04/25 Senegal Premier League | Ajel de Rufisque | 0-1 | ASC Jaraaf |
| 27/03/25 Senegal League Cup | Ajel de Rufisque | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASC Jaraaf |
| 20/02/25 Senegal League Cup | ASC Jaraaf | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ajel de Rufisque |
| 10/11/24 Senegal Premier League | ASC Jaraaf | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ajel de Rufisque |
Standings · Senegal Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ajel de Rufisque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AS Pikine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASC Jaraaf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Walidaan DKR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Casa Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Diambars FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Essamaye FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Generation Foot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guediawaye FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASC HLM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASC Linguere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade de Mbour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Teungueth FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Goree | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Ouakam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASC Jaraaf | Ajel de Rufisque |
|---|---|---|
| AS Dakar Sacre Coeur | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Generation Foot | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| ASC Linguere | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| US Goree | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Guediawaye FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Teungueth FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASC Jaraaf
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | AS Camberene Senegal Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Casa Sport Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | AS Pikine Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | SONACOS Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Generation Foot Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
Ajel de Rufisque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | Generation Foot Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | ASC Linguere Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | US Goree Senegal Premier League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Guediawaye FC Senegal Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Teungueth FC Senegal Premier League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Stade de Mbour Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Walidaan DKR Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | AS Dakar Sacre Coeur Senegal Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | US Ouakam Senegal Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 29/03 | ASC HLM Senegal Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASC Jaraaf vs Ajel de Rufisque?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASC Jaraaf win (40%). Probabilities: ASC Jaraaf 40%, draw 37%, Ajel de Rufisque 24%.
How many goals are expected in ASC Jaraaf vs Ajel de Rufisque?
The model expects 1.46 goals (ASC Jaraaf 0.86 · Ajel de Rufisque 0.6), with a 52% chance of under 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in ASC Jaraaf vs Ajel de Rufisque?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.