Football · Senegal Premier League · 17/10, 19:00

Prediction: ASC HLM vs Casa Sport

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.56Total
ASC HLM0.82
Casa Sport0.74
1X2
34% 36% 30%
ASC HLM Draw Casa Sport
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 50% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
ASC HLM 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WLDLWDDLDW
Casa Sport 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDDDDLWWDL
Head-to-head
ASC HLM 1–2–1 Casa Sport (4 last)
  • Casa Sport0-0ASC HLM
  • ASC HLM1-1Casa Sport
  • Casa Sport2-0ASC HLM
  • ASC HLM2-1Casa Sport
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASC HLM 1501 · Casa Sport 1489
ASC HLMDrawCasa Sport
Our model33%38%29%
Market35%34%31%
Estimated total (ours) 1.56 goals · Bet365 line 1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASC HLMCasa Sport
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.80.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/44/33%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.83 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASC HLM 1–2–1 Casa Sport

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Senegal Premier League
Casa Sport0-0ASC HLM
09/11/25
Senegal Premier League
ASC HLM1-1
HT 0-1
Casa Sport
09/03/25
Senegal Premier League
Casa Sport2-0ASC HLM
27/10/24
Senegal Premier League
ASC HLM2-1
HT 2-0
Casa Sport

Standings · Senegal Premier League

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Ajel de Rufisque 000 000
1 AS Pikine 000 000
1 ASC Jaraaf 000 000
1 Walidaan DKR 000 000
1 Casa Sport 000 000
1 AS Dakar Sacre Coeur 000 000
1 Diambars FC 000 000
1 Essamaye FC 000 000
1 Generation Foot 000 000
1 Guediawaye FC 000 000
1 ASC HLM 000 000
1 ASC Linguere 000 000
1 Stade de Mbour 000 000
1 Teungueth FC 000 000
1 US Goree 000 000
1 US Ouakam 000 000

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentASC HLMCasa Sport
AS Pikine 2-1 W 1-0 W
SONACOS 0-0 D 3-0 W
Generation Foot 0-1 L 1-2 L
ASC Linguere 0-0 D 0-0 D
US Goree 1-1 D 0-0 D
Guediawaye FC 2-1 W 1-1 D
Teungueth FC 0-1 L 0-0 D
Stade de Mbour 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 2 L 2 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Casa Sport (2 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASC HLM

WLDLWDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/06 AS Pikine
Senegal Premier League
0-0 2-1 42 W
22/05 SONACOS
Senegal Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
17/05 Generation Foot
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-1 33 L
13/05 ASC Linguere
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 76 D
10/05 US Goree
Senegal Premier League
0-1 1-1 54 D
03/05 Guediawaye FC
Senegal Premier League
0-1 2-1 85 W
25/04 Teungueth FC
Senegal Premier League
0-1 0-1 71 L
20/04 Stade de Mbour
Senegal Premier League
1-0 1-1 31 D
11/04 Walidaan DKR
Senegal Premier League
1-1 1-2 59 L
29/03 Ajel de Rufisque
Senegal Premier League
2-0 3-0 15 W

Casa Sport

DDDDDLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/06 AS Dakar Sacre Coeur
Senegal Premier League
– 1-2 –– L
22/05 ASC Jaraaf
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 04 D
17/05 AS Pikine
Senegal Premier League
– 1-0 –– W
13/05 SONACOS
Senegal Premier League
– 3-0 –– W
10/05 Generation Foot
Senegal Premier League
– 1-2 –– L
03/05 ASC Linguere
Senegal Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
26/04 US Goree
Senegal Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
19/04 Guediawaye FC
Senegal Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
12/04 Teungueth FC
Senegal Premier League
0-0 0-0 53 D
29/03 Stade de Mbour
Senegal Premier League
– 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASC HLM vs Casa Sport?

According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: ASC HLM 34%, draw 36%, Casa Sport 30%.

How many goals are expected in ASC HLM vs Casa Sport?

The model expects 1.56 goals (ASC HLM 0.82 · Casa Sport 0.74), with a 50% chance of over 1.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASC HLM vs Casa Sport?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.