Prediction: Sporting Gijon (W) vs Burgos (W)
| Sporting Gijon (W) | Draw | Burgos (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burgos (W) (rating 1437 vs 1534).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting Gijon (W) | Burgos (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting Gijon (W) | Burgos (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Athletic Bilbao B (W) | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Atletico Villalonga (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Madrid (W) C | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Real Sociedad II (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Celta Vigo (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Madrid CFF (W) B | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Burgos (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting Gijon (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03 | Racing Santander (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Athletic Bilbao B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/02 | Atletico Villalonga (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 14/02 | Bizkerre (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/02 | Atletico Madrid (W) C Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/01 | Real Sociedad II (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/01 | Eibar B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/12 | Celta Vigo (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/11 | Athletic Bilbao B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/11 | Madrid CFF (W) B Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Burgos (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Osasuna (W) B Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Arratia CD (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Atletico Madrid (W) C Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Madrid CFF (W) B Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/03 | Real Sociedad II (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | Athletic Bilbao B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/02 | Racing Santander (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Real Aviles CF (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/12 | Celta Vigo (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/11 | Atletico Villalonga (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting Gijon (W) vs Burgos (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Burgos (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Sporting Gijon (W) 34%, draw 29%, Burgos (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Gijon (W) vs Burgos (W)?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Sporting Gijon (W) 1.2 · Burgos (W) 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting Gijon (W) vs Burgos (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.