Football · Spain Segunda Federacion Women · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: Bizkerre (W) vs Real Aviles CF (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Bizkerre (W)1.36
Real Aviles CF (W)1.28
1X2
Bizkerre (W)
Draw
Real Aviles CF (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bizkerre (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Real Aviles CF (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bizkerre (W)
1–1
Real Aviles CF (W)
(2 last)
- Real Aviles CF (W)1-0Bizkerre (W)
- Bizkerre (W)5-1Real Aviles CF (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bizkerre (W) 1474 · Real Aviles CF (W) 1474
| Bizkerre (W) | Draw | Real Aviles CF (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bizkerre (W) | Real Aviles CF (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bizkerre (W) 1–0–1 Real Aviles CF (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Spain Segunda Federacion Women | Real Aviles CF (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bizkerre (W) |
| 06/12/25 Spain Segunda Federacion Women | Bizkerre (W) | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Real Aviles CF (W) |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bizkerre (W) | Real Aviles CF (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Madrid (W) C | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bizkerre (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Arratia CD (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Real Sociedad II (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Celta Vigo (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Real Aviles CF (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Madrid CFF (W) B Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/03 | Atletico Villalonga (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/02 | Sporting Gijon (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/12 | Atletico Madrid (W) C Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 06/12 | Real Aviles CF (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/11 | Atletico Villalonga (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Real Aviles CF (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03 | Racing Santander (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Bizkerre (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Atletico Madrid (W) C Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 07/03 | Celta Vigo (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 14/02 | Eibar B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 08/02 | Burgos (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 31/01 | Olimpico de Leon (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/01 | Athletic Bilbao B (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/12 | Bizkerre (W) Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/11 | Atletico Madrid (W) C Spain Segunda Federacion Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bizkerre (W) vs Real Aviles CF (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bizkerre (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Bizkerre (W) 38%, draw 27%, Real Aviles CF (W) 35%.
How many goals are expected in Bizkerre (W) vs Real Aviles CF (W)?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Bizkerre (W) 1.36 · Real Aviles CF (W) 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bizkerre (W) vs Real Aviles CF (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.