Prediction: Khovd Western vs Deren FC
Team pages: Khovd Western · Deren FC
- Khovd Western1-5Deren FC
- Deren FC3-2Khovd Western
- Khovd Western2-6Deren FC
| Khovd Western | Draw | Deren FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 4% | 7% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deren FC (rating 1475 vs 1604).
- H2H favours Deren FC: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Khovd Western | Deren FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 2.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khovd Western 0–0–3 Deren FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd Western | 1-5 HT 1-4 | Deren FC |
| 27/09/25 Mongolia Premier League | Deren FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Khovd Western |
| 03/11/21 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd Western | 2-6 HT 0-2 | Deren FC |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Khovd Western | Deren FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ulaangom City FC | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Khangarid Klub | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deren FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khovd Western
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Khans Khuns-Erchim Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 23/05 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Deren FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | WARD FC Mongolia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Amtat FC Mongolia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
5-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 17/09 | FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 06/07 | FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khovd Western vs Deren FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deren FC win (83%). Probabilities: Khovd Western 7%, draw 10%, Deren FC 83%.
How many goals are expected in Khovd Western vs Deren FC?
The model expects 4.47 goals (Khovd Western 1.23 · Deren FC 3.23), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Khovd Western vs Deren FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.