Prediction: Khovd FC vs FC Ulaanbaatar
Team pages: Khovd FC · FC Ulaanbaatar
- FC Ulaanbaatar4-1Khovd FC
- Khovd FC0-4FC Ulaanbaatar
- FC Ulaanbaatar3-3Khovd FC
- Khovd FC3-4FC Ulaanbaatar
- FC Ulaanbaatar3-3Khovd FC
- Khovd FC3-6FC Ulaanbaatar
| Khovd FC | Draw | FC Ulaanbaatar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| Market | 4% | 6% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Ulaanbaatar (rating 1456 vs 1580).
- H2H favours FC Ulaanbaatar: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Khovd FC | FC Ulaanbaatar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 3.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.1 | 3.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khovd FC 0–2–4 FC Ulaanbaatar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Mongolia Premier League | FC Ulaanbaatar | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Khovd FC |
| 21/09/25 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
| 06/07/25 Mongolia Premier League | FC Ulaanbaatar | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Khovd FC |
| 17/04/25 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd FC | 3-4 HT 1-2 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
| 29/09/24 Mongolia Premier League | FC Ulaanbaatar | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Khovd FC |
| 31/05/24 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd FC | 3-6 HT 1-3 | FC Ulaanbaatar |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Khovd FC | FC Ulaanbaatar |
|---|---|---|
| Central Stallions | 0-6 L | 2-3 L |
| Hunters FC | 1-6 L | 5-3 W |
| Deren FC | 0-6 L | 0-0 D |
| Khangarid Klub | 0-6 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Ulaanbaatar (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khovd FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Khans Khuns-Erchim Mongolia Premier League |
4-1 | 8-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/09 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/07 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 7-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
3-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-10 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-6 | 0 | 5 | L |
FC Ulaanbaatar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 5-3 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | WARD FC Mongolia Premier League |
4-0 | 9-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Amtat FC Mongolia Premier League |
4-0 | 9-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/09 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 06/07 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/06 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 21/06 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khovd FC vs FC Ulaanbaatar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Ulaanbaatar win (82%). Probabilities: Khovd FC 8%, draw 9%, FC Ulaanbaatar 82%.
How many goals are expected in Khovd FC vs FC Ulaanbaatar?
The model expects 5.21 goals (Khovd FC 1.61 · FC Ulaanbaatar 3.61), with a 59% chance of under 6 goals.
Will both teams score in Khovd FC vs FC Ulaanbaatar?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.