Football · China Super League Women · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Guangdong (W) vs Shandong (W)

Team pages: Guangdong (W) · Shandong (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Guangdong (W)1.08

Shandong (W)1.06

1X2

35% 31% 34%

Guangdong (W) Draw Shandong (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Guangdong (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLDDDDLW

Shandong (W) 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDWDLD

Head-to-head

Guangdong (W) 2–1–3 Shandong (W) (6 last)

Shandong (W)2-2Guangdong (W)
Shandong (W)1-0Guangdong (W)
Guangdong (W)2-3Shandong (W)
Shandong (W)1-2Guangdong (W)
Guangdong (W)2-1Shandong (W)
Guangdong (W)0-3Shandong (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangdong (W) 1485 · Shandong (W) 1465

	Guangdong (W)	Draw	Shandong (W)
Our model	35%	32%	33%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shandong (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guangdong (W)	Shandong (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.1	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:41 +7’	2.50	3.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong (W) 2–1–3 Shandong (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/06/26 China Super League Women	Shandong (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Guangdong (W)
13/08/25 China Super League Women	Shandong (W)	1-0	Guangdong (W)
12/04/25 China Super League Women	Guangdong (W)	2-3 HT 1-2	Shandong (W)
30/06/24 China Super League Women	Shandong (W)	1-2	Guangdong (W)
24/03/24 China Super League Women	Guangdong (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Shandong (W)
02/12/23 China Super League Women	Guangdong (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Shandong (W)

Standings · China Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	10	9	0	1	17	3	27
2	Beijing (W)	10	8	1	1	20	8	25
3	Shanghai (W)	10	6	3	1	18	7	21
4	Wuhan Jiangda (W)	10	6	2	2	13	9	20
5	Jiangsu Suning (W)	10	6	1	3	14	11	19
6	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	10	4	0	6	5	11	12
7	Changchun Dazhong (W)	10	2	3	5	6	12	9
8	Guangdong (W)	10	1	5	4	8	14	8
9	Shaanxi Zhidan (W)	10	2	1	7	5	9	7
10	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	10	1	4	5	12	18	7
11	Shandong (W)	10	1	4	5	7	13	7
12	Guangxi Pingguo (W)	10	0	4	6	7	17	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guangdong (W)	Shandong (W)
Shanghai (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	1-4 L	1-1 D
Changchun Dazhong (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Wuhan Jiangda (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Beijing (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Guangxi Pingguo (W)	2-2 D	0-0 D
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangdong (W)

WLDLDDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-1	1	0	W
12/07	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	–	1-4	–	–	L
05/07	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
29/06	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
24/06	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/06	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
13/06	Beijing (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
16/05	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
09/05	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
03/05	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Shandong (W)

DLLLDDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Beijing (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
15/07	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	3	0	L
04/07	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
28/06	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/06	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
20/06	Guangdong (W) China Super League Women	1-1	2-2	8	0	D
13/06	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
17/05	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	8	0	L
10/05	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-2	0	0	L
02/05	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	1-1	1-1	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangdong (W) vs Shandong (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong (W) win (35%). Probabilities: Guangdong (W) 35%, draw 31%, Shandong (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Guangdong (W) vs Shandong (W)?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Guangdong (W) 1.08 · Shandong (W) 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangdong (W) vs Shandong (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.