Football · China Super League Women · 11/10, 09:00
Prediction: Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
Team pages: Changchun Dazhong (W) · Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
Changchun Dazhong (W)1.16
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)0.72
1X2
Changchun Dazhong (W)
Draw
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Changchun Dazhong (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Changchun Dazhong (W)
3–3–0
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
(6 last)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)2-1Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
- Shaanxi Zhidan (W)0-0Changchun Dazhong (W)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)1-1Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
- Changchun Dazhong (W)2-0Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
- Shaanxi Zhidan (W)1-1Changchun Dazhong (W)
- Shaanxi Zhidan (W)0-4Changchun Dazhong (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Changchun Dazhong (W) 1459 · Shaanxi Zhidan (W) 1462
| Changchun Dazhong (W) | Draw | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 34% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Changchun Dazhong (W): 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Changchun Dazhong (W) | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Changchun Dazhong (W) 3–3–0 Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) |
| 27/07/25 China Super League Women | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 0-0 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 15/06/25 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) |
| 01/09/24 China Super League Women | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) |
| 12/05/24 China Super League Women | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 1-1 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
| 08/09/23 China Super League Women | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 0-4 | Changchun Dazhong (W) |
Standings · China Super League Women · Chinese Super League, Women 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong (W) | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 2 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 10 |
| 3 | Shandong (W) | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 4 | Changchun Dazhong (W) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 9 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
| 6 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Changchun Dazhong (W) | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Guangdong (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Shandong (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Beijing (W) | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Guangxi Pingguo (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Jiangsu Suning (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Shaanxi Zhidan (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Changchun Dazhong (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/06 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Shanghai (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 12/07 | Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Beijing (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/06 | Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Shandong (W) China Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Guangdong (W) China Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shaanxi Zhidan (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Changchun Dazhong (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Changchun Dazhong (W) 46%, draw 31%, Shaanxi Zhidan (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shaanxi Zhidan (W)?
The model expects 1.88 goals (Changchun Dazhong (W) 1.16 · Shaanxi Zhidan (W) 0.72), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shaanxi Zhidan (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.