Football · China Super League Women · 10/10, 10:00

Prediction: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

Team pages: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)1.69

Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)0.47

1X2

68% 22% 10%

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) Draw Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLWD

Head-to-head

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 2–1–0 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) (3 last)

Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)0-1Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)2-2Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)2-0Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1601 · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 1484

	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Draw	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
Our model	67%	25%	9%
Market	69%	20%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) (rating 1601 vs 1484).
H2H favours Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W): 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.5	1.3 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.50

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:19 +17’	1.30	4.50	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 2–1–0 Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 China Super League Women	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
13/08/25 China Super League Women	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	2-2 HT 0-0	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
13/04/25 China Super League Women	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

Standings · China Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	10	9	0	1	17	3	27
2	Beijing (W)	10	8	1	1	20	8	25
3	Shanghai (W)	10	6	3	1	18	7	21
4	Wuhan Jiangda (W)	10	6	2	2	13	9	20
5	Jiangsu Suning (W)	10	6	1	3	14	11	19
6	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	10	4	0	6	5	11	12
7	Changchun Dazhong (W)	10	2	3	5	6	12	9
8	Guangdong (W)	10	1	5	4	8	14	8
9	Shaanxi Zhidan (W)	10	2	1	7	5	9	7
10	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	10	1	4	5	12	18	7
11	Shandong (W)	10	1	4	5	7	13	7
12	Guangxi Pingguo (W)	10	0	4	6	7	17	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)
Guangxi Pingguo (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Jiangsu Suning (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Wuhan Jiangda (W)	2-0 W	0-3 L
Changchun Dazhong (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Shanghai (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Shandong (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/07	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
05/07	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
28/06	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/06	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/06	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-0	2-1	5	0	W
13/06	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
16/05	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	12	0	W
09/05	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	1-0	3-1	3	1	W
02/05	Beijing (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L

Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)

LWLWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
14/07	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
04/07	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
28/06	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
24/06	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
20/06	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	–	1-0	–	–	W
14/06	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
16/05	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
09/05	Guangdong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
02/05	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	0-0	0-3	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 68%, draw 22%, Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 10%.

How many goals are expected in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1.69 · Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) 0.47), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.