Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 07/10, 19:45

Prediction: FC Freienbach vs USV Eschen-Mauren

Team pages: FC Freienbach · USV Eschen-Mauren

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

FC Freienbach2.02

USV Eschen-Mauren1.36

1X2

52% 23% 25%

FC Freienbach Draw USV Eschen-Mauren

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Freienbach 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDLDLWLW

USV Eschen-Mauren 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDLWL

Head-to-head

FC Freienbach 2–0 USV Eschen-Mauren (2 last)

FC Freienbach2-0USV Eschen-Mauren
USV Eschen-Mauren0-2FC Freienbach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Freienbach 1511 · USV Eschen-Mauren 1454

	FC Freienbach	Draw	USV Eschen-Mauren
Our model	52%	23%	25%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Freienbach (rating 1511 vs 1454).
H2H favours FC Freienbach: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Freienbach	USV Eschen-Mauren
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 6	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73
X	3.60 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	2.63 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.63 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:38 +34’	2.15	3.60	2.63
02:05 +12’	1.90▼	3.80▲	3.00▲
11:41 +3’	1.75▼	4.00▲	3.30▲
15:48 +5’	1.73▼	3.80▼	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:48 +34’	1.89	3.70	3.25
11:21 +23’	1.82▼	3.83▲	3.31▲
15:49 +4’	1.71▼	3.67▼	3.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Freienbach 2–0–0 USV Eschen-Mauren

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Freienbach	2-0	USV Eschen-Mauren
28/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	USV Eschen-Mauren	0-2 HT 0-2	FC Freienbach

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tuggen	9	6	2	1	20	9	20
2	St Gallen II	9	6	1	2	20	16	19
3	AC Taverne	9	5	2	2	24	13	17
4	FC Thalwil	9	4	4	1	16	9	16
5	FC Baden	9	5	1	3	19	14	16
6	FC Collina d'Oro	9	4	2	3	8	9	14
7	FC Kosova	8	3	4	1	14	11	13
8	FC Dietikon	8	3	2	3	12	13	11
9	Gossau	9	3	2	4	12	17	11
10	Winterthur II	8	3	0	5	10	11	9
11	FC Freienbach	8	2	3	3	11	14	9
12	FC Mendrisio	9	1	5	3	11	13	8
13	USV Eschen-Mauren	7	2	1	4	8	15	7
14	Locarno	9	1	4	4	11	13	7
15	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	9	1	3	5	9	15	6
16	FC Widnau	9	1	2	6	4	17	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Freienbach	USV Eschen-Mauren
FC Collina d'Oro	3-1 W	0-1 L
FC Mendrisio	0-2 L	4-3 W
FC Kosova	3-3 D	0-5 L
FC Thalwil	0-3 L	0-0 D
FC Baden	2-2 D	1-3 L
Gossau	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Freienbach (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Freienbach

WWDDLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FC Widnau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
19/09	Winterthur II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	2-3	5	8	L
12/09	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/09	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
29/08	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-3	–	–	D
23/08	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-2	0-3	9	3	L
14/08	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-2	–	–	D
09/08	Gossau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/05	SV Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/05	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	3-0	3-0	4	3	W

USV Eschen-Mauren

LWLWLLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
12/09	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-3	–	–	W
05/09	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-5	–	–	L
29/08	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-3	–	–	L
14/08	Gossau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-4	–	–	L
23/05	FC Dietikon Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-1	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Freienbach vs USV Eschen-Mauren?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Freienbach win (52%). Probabilities: FC Freienbach 52%, draw 23%, USV Eschen-Mauren 25%.

How many goals are expected in FC Freienbach vs USV Eschen-Mauren?

The model expects 3.38 goals (FC Freienbach 2.02 · USV Eschen-Mauren 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Freienbach vs USV Eschen-Mauren?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.