Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 11/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Widnau vs USV Eschen-Mauren

Team pages: FC Widnau · USV Eschen-Mauren

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FC Widnau1.18

USV Eschen-Mauren1.36

1X2

32% 28% 40%

FC Widnau Draw USV Eschen-Mauren

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Widnau 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDWLLL

USV Eschen-Mauren 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDLWLD

Head-to-head

FC Widnau 0–1–1 USV Eschen-Mauren (2 last)

FC Widnau0-0USV Eschen-Mauren
USV Eschen-Mauren2-1FC Widnau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Widnau 1440 · USV Eschen-Mauren 1479

	FC Widnau	Draw	USV Eschen-Mauren
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 13.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Widnau	USV Eschen-Mauren
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.8	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.8	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	9.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.43
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.22 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +11’	2.75	3.40	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +55’	2.75	3.43	2.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Widnau 0–1–1 USV Eschen-Mauren

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	FC Widnau	0-0 HT 0-0	USV Eschen-Mauren
22/10/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	USV Eschen-Mauren	2-1	FC Widnau

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Classic · 1. Liga Classic 26/27, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tuggen	9	6	2	1	20	9	20
2	St Gallen II	9	6	1	2	20	16	19
3	AC Taverne	9	5	2	2	24	13	17
4	FC Thalwil	9	4	4	1	16	9	16
5	FC Baden	9	5	1	3	19	14	16
6	FC Kosova	9	4	4	1	15	11	16
7	FC Collina d'Oro	9	4	2	3	8	9	14
8	FC Dietikon	9	3	2	4	12	14	11
9	Gossau	9	3	2	4	12	17	11
10	FC Freienbach	9	2	4	3	11	14	10
11	Winterthur II	9	3	0	6	10	14	9
12	FC Wettswil-Bonstetten	10	2	3	5	12	15	9
13	USV Eschen-Mauren	8	2	2	4	8	15	8
14	FC Mendrisio	9	1	5	3	11	13	8
15	Locarno	9	1	4	4	11	13	7
16	FC Widnau	9	1	2	6	4	17	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Widnau	USV Eschen-Mauren
Gossau	1-4 L	1-2 L
FC Freienbach	0-1 L	0-0 D
AC Taverne	0-5 L	2-1 W
FC Collina d'Oro	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Dietikon	1-2 L	2-1 W
FC Mendrisio	1-1 D	4-3 W
FC Tuggen	0-3 L	1-4 L
FC Kosova	3-1 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: USV Eschen-Mauren (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Widnau

WLDLLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Gossau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-4	–	–	L
27/09	FC Freienbach Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
19/09	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-2	0-5	4	5	L
13/09	Winterthur II Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
05/09	Locarno Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
30/08	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
22/08	FC Dietikon Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/05	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	3-1	–	–	W

USV Eschen-Mauren

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	FC Freienbach Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-0	5	10	D
19/09	FC Collina d'Oro Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
12/09	FC Mendrisio Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	4-3	–	–	W
05/09	FC Kosova Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-5	–	–	L
29/08	FC Thalwil Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	FC Baden Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-3	–	–	L
14/08	Gossau Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	AC Taverne Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	FC Tuggen Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	1-4	–	–	L
23/05	FC Dietikon Switzerland 1.Liga Classic	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Widnau vs USV Eschen-Mauren?

According to our model, the most likely result is an USV Eschen-Mauren win (40%). Probabilities: FC Widnau 32%, draw 28%, USV Eschen-Mauren 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Widnau vs USV Eschen-Mauren?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FC Widnau 1.18 · USV Eschen-Mauren 1.36), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Widnau vs USV Eschen-Mauren?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.