Football · India Mizoram Premier League · 09/10, 15:30
Prediction: Mizoram Police FC vs Aizawl FC XI
Team pages: Mizoram Police FC · Aizawl FC XI
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Mizoram Police FC0.97
Aizawl FC XI2.25
1X2
Mizoram Police FC
Draw
Aizawl FC XI
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Mizoram Police FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Aizawl FC XI
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mizoram Police FC
0–1–5
Aizawl FC XI
(6 last)
- Aizawl FC XI1-1Mizoram Police FC
- Mizoram Police FC2-4Aizawl FC XI
- Aizawl FC XI5-0Mizoram Police FC
- Aizawl FC XI1-0Mizoram Police FC
- Mizoram Police FC1-2Aizawl FC XI
- Mizoram Police FC0-2Aizawl FC XI
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mizoram Police FC 1507 · Aizawl FC XI 1594
| Mizoram Police FC | Draw | Aizawl FC XI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| Market | 14% | 20% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aizawl FC XI (rating 1507 vs 1594).
- H2H favours Aizawl FC XI: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mizoram Police FC | Aizawl FC XI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 2.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mizoram Police FC 0–1–5 Aizawl FC XI
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 India Mizoram Premier League | Aizawl FC XI | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Mizoram Police FC |
| 16/10/25 India Mizoram Premier League | Mizoram Police FC | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Aizawl FC XI |
| 22/08/25 India Mizoram Premier League | Aizawl FC XI | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Mizoram Police FC |
| 15/10/24 India Mizoram Premier League | Aizawl FC XI | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mizoram Police FC |
| 13/09/24 India Mizoram Premier League | Mizoram Police FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Aizawl FC XI |
| 09/08/24 India Regional Cup | Mizoram Police FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Aizawl FC XI |
Standings · India Mizoram Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aizawl FC XI | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Chanmari FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Mizoram Police FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Dinthar FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 5 | MLS FC Lawngtlai | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 11 |
| 6 | Kanan FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 11 |
| 7 | Saikhamakawn FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 10 |
| 8 | Ramthar Veng FC | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mizoram Police FC | Aizawl FC XI |
|---|---|---|
| Kanan FC | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Chanmari FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| MLS FC Lawngtlai | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ramthar Veng FC | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aizawl FC XI (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mizoram Police FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/09 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 16/09 | Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11/09 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/09 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Aizawl FC XI
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 29/09 | Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 25/09 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/09 | Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/09 | Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mizoram Police FC vs Aizawl FC XI?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aizawl FC XI win (66%). Probabilities: Mizoram Police FC 14%, draw 20%, Aizawl FC XI 66%.
How many goals are expected in Mizoram Police FC vs Aizawl FC XI?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Mizoram Police FC 0.97 · Aizawl FC XI 2.25), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Mizoram Police FC vs Aizawl FC XI?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.