Football · India Mizoram Premier League · 13/10, 11:30

Prediction: Aizawl FC XI vs Saikhamakawn FC

Team pages: Aizawl FC XI · Saikhamakawn FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.14Total

Aizawl FC XI3.07

Saikhamakawn FC1.07

1X2

82% 11% 7%

Aizawl FC XI Draw Saikhamakawn FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Aizawl FC XI 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Saikhamakawn FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Aizawl FC XI 2–1–0 Saikhamakawn FC (3 last)

Saikhamakawn FC0-5Aizawl FC XI
Saikhamakawn FC2-3Aizawl FC XI
Aizawl FC XI3-3Saikhamakawn FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aizawl FC XI 1604 · Saikhamakawn FC 1440

	Aizawl FC XI	Draw	Saikhamakawn FC
Our model	76%	14%	9%
Market	86%	9%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aizawl FC XI (rating 1604 vs 1440).
H2H favours Aizawl FC XI: 2-1-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aizawl FC XI	Saikhamakawn FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.6	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.6	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.10

X11.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3)1.95

2 (+3)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.10▲	Bet365 1.10
X	12.00 → 11.00▼	Bet365 11.00
2	21.00 → 17.00▼	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:37 +29’	1.06	12.00	21.00
02:59 +2’	1.10▲	11.00▼	17.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aizawl FC XI 2–1–0 Saikhamakawn FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/08/26 India Mizoram Premier League	Saikhamakawn FC	0-5 HT 0-0	Aizawl FC XI
21/10/25 India Mizoram Premier League	Saikhamakawn FC	2-3 HT 0-0	Aizawl FC XI
29/08/25 India Mizoram Premier League	Aizawl FC XI	3-3 HT 0-2	Saikhamakawn FC

Standings · India Mizoram Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aizawl FC XI	12	9	2	1	36	8	29
2	Chanmari FC	12	8	3	1	29	11	27
3	Mizoram Police FC	12	5	4	3	16	12	19
4	Dinthar FC	12	6	0	6	11	17	18
5	MLS FC Lawngtlai	12	3	2	7	12	21	11
6	Kanan FC	12	3	2	7	15	28	11
7	Saikhamakawn FC	12	3	1	8	16	28	10
8	Ramthar Veng FC	12	2	4	6	12	22	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aizawl FC XI	Saikhamakawn FC
Mizoram Police FC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Ramthar Veng FC	2-0 W	2-0 W
Chanmari FC	1-2 L	1-7 L
MLS FC Lawngtlai	1-0 W	2-2 D
Dinthar FC	4-0 W	3-0 W
Kanan FC	5-0 W	2-5 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Aizawl FC XI (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aizawl FC XI

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-1	2-1	8	5	W
02/10	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
29/09	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	1-2	9	3	L
25/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
18/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	4-0	7	6	W
16/09	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
12/09	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	2-2	5	6	D
09/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
05/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	5-0	4	0	W
02/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	5-0	4	0	W

Saikhamakawn FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-2	1-7	1	1	L
03/10	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
30/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
26/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	0	W
19/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-3	2-5	2	5	L
16/09	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
11/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	1-2	2-3	10	1	L
08/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
04/09	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
01/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	3-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aizawl FC XI vs Saikhamakawn FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aizawl FC XI win (82%). Probabilities: Aizawl FC XI 82%, draw 11%, Saikhamakawn FC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Aizawl FC XI vs Saikhamakawn FC?

The model expects 4.14 goals (Aizawl FC XI 3.07 · Saikhamakawn FC 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Aizawl FC XI vs Saikhamakawn FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.