Football · Burkina Faso League · 27/09, 17:30

Prediction: AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.55Total
AS Douanes Ouagadougou0.9
Sporting Cascades0.65
1X2
40% 35% 25%
AS Douanes Ouagadougou Draw Sporting Cascades
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
AS Douanes Ouagadougou 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWWLWDWL
Sporting Cascades 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WWDDDDWLDW
Head-to-head
AS Douanes Ouagadougou 2–1–0 Sporting Cascades (3 last)
  • AS Douanes Ouagadougou0-0Sporting Cascades
  • Sporting Cascades0-1AS Douanes Ouagadougou
  • AS Douanes Ouagadougou2-0Sporting Cascades
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Douanes Ouagadougou 1533 · Sporting Cascades 1539
AS Douanes OuagadougouDrawSporting Cascades
Our model38%38%24%
Market41%33%26%
Estimated total (ours) 1.55 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours AS Douanes Ouagadougou: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AS Douanes OuagadougouSporting Cascades
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.61 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.10.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.13 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Douanes Ouagadougou 2–1–0 Sporting Cascades

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/03/26
Burkina Faso League
AS Douanes Ouagadougou0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Cascades
15/11/25
Burkina Faso League
Sporting Cascades0-1
HT 0-0
AS Douanes Ouagadougou
17/10/23
Burkina Faso League
AS Douanes Ouagadougou2-0
HT 2-0
Sporting Cascades

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAS Douanes OuagadougouSporting Cascades
Salitas FC 1-2 L 1-2 L
Sonabel 2-1 W 1-1 D
Vitesse FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Etoile Filante Ouagadougou 0-2 L 0-0 D
Real du Faso 1-0 W 2-0 W
RC Bobo Dioulasso 0-0 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Cascades (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Douanes Ouagadougou

DDDWWLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Salitas FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-2 62 L
26/04 Sonabel
Burkina Faso League
2-0 2-1 09 W
17/04 AJEB FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-1 510 D
10/04 Vitesse FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-0 46 W
04/04 Etoile Filante Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso League
0-1 0-2 22 L
22/03 ASFA-Yennenga
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-0 62 W
13/03 Real du Faso
Burkina Faso League
1-0 1-0 55 W
10/03 Sporting Cascades
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 33 D
28/02 ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 47 D
20/02 RC Bobo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 66 D

Sporting Cascades

WWDDDDWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/05 Majestic FC
Burkina Faso League
2-1 2-1 63 W
26/04 Etoile Filante Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 11 D
10/04 Salitas FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-2 55 L
04/04 Rahimo FC
Burkina Faso League
1-0 2-0 54 W
13/03 US Forces Armees
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 83 D
10/03 AS Douanes Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 73 D
21/02 Vitesse FC
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-1 53 D
15/02 Sonabel
Burkina Faso League
1-1 1-1 32 D
08/02 RC Bobo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso League
1-0 1-0 35 W
31/01 Real du Faso
Burkina Faso League
1-0 2-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Douanes Ouagadougou win (40%). Probabilities: AS Douanes Ouagadougou 40%, draw 35%, Sporting Cascades 25%.

How many goals are expected in AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades?

The model expects 1.55 goals (AS Douanes Ouagadougou 0.9 · Sporting Cascades 0.65), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.