Football · Burkina Faso League · 03/10, 17:30

Prediction: ASFA-Yennenga vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Team pages: ASFA-Yennenga · ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

ASFA-Yennenga1.08

ASF Bolo Dioulasso0.9

1X2

38% 33% 29%

ASFA-Yennenga Draw ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

ASFA-Yennenga 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDDLWLLL

ASF Bolo Dioulasso 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLLWLLDW

Head-to-head

ASFA-Yennenga 1–5–0 ASF Bolo Dioulasso (6 last)

ASF Bolo Dioulasso0-3ASFA-Yennenga
ASFA-Yennenga1-1ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASFA-Yennenga1-1ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASFA-Yennenga1-1ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASFA-Yennenga0-0ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASFA-Yennenga1-1ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASFA-Yennenga 1465 · ASF Bolo Dioulasso 1455

	ASFA-Yennenga	Draw	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Our model	38%	34%	29%
Market	38%	33%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASFA-Yennenga	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	1.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:18 +5’	2.35	2.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASFA-Yennenga 1–5–0 ASF Bolo Dioulasso

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Burkina Faso League	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	0-3 HT 0-1	ASFA-Yennenga
25/10/25 Burkina Faso League	ASFA-Yennenga	1-1 HT 1-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
24/09/23 Burkina Faso League	ASFA-Yennenga	1-1 HT 1-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
23/09/23 Burkina Faso League	ASFA-Yennenga	1-1 HT 1-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
12/10/22 Burkina Faso League	ASFA-Yennenga	0-0 HT 0-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
25/09/21 Burkina Faso League	ASFA-Yennenga	1-1 HT 0-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASFA-Yennenga	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Real du Faso	0-1 L	0-2 L
AS Douanes Ouagadougou	0-1 L	0-0 D
Etoile Filante Ouagadougou	2-2 D	1-0 W
RC Bobo Dioulasso	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASFA-Yennenga

LWDDDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Vitesse FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/05	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
26/04	AJEB FC Burkina Faso League	0-1	2-4	7	2	L
03/04	ASF Bolo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
22/03	AS Douanes Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
15/03	Etoile Filante Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-1	2-2	9	3	D
08/03	RC Bobo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
27/02	Vitesse FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
21/02	Majestic FC Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
15/02	US Forces Armees Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-2	2	3	L

ASF Bolo Dioulasso

DLDLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	RC Kadiogo Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
20/09	Salitas FC Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
03/05	Sonabel Burkina Faso League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
26/04	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
18/04	Etoile Filante Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/04	RC Bobo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
03/04	ASFA-Yennenga Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
28/02	AS Douanes Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
21/02	RC Kadiogo Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
20/02	AS Douanes Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-0	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASFA-Yennenga vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASFA-Yennenga win (38%). Probabilities: ASFA-Yennenga 38%, draw 33%, ASF Bolo Dioulasso 29%.

How many goals are expected in ASFA-Yennenga vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

The model expects 1.98 goals (ASFA-Yennenga 1.08 · ASF Bolo Dioulasso 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ASFA-Yennenga vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.