Football · Algeria Division 1 · 24/10, 19:00

Prediction: JS Saoura vs ES Ben Aknoun

Team pages: JS Saoura · ES Ben Aknoun

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

JS Saoura1.33

ES Ben Aknoun0.96

1X2

44% 31% 26%

JS Saoura Draw ES Ben Aknoun

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

JS Saoura 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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ES Ben Aknoun 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

JS Saoura 2–2–1 ES Ben Aknoun (5 last)

ES Ben Aknoun2-2JS Saoura
JS Saoura1-0ES Ben Aknoun
ES Ben Aknoun1-1JS Saoura
ES Ben Aknoun2-0JS Saoura
JS Saoura1-0ES Ben Aknoun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JS Saoura 1504 · ES Ben Aknoun 1483

	JS Saoura	Draw	ES Ben Aknoun
Our model	44%	30%	26%
Market	44%	31%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JS Saoura: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JS Saoura	ES Ben Aknoun
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.5	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X2.90

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.08
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.70 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.97 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +9’	2.00	2.90	3.70
03:59 +21’	2.05▲	2.90	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:56 +24’	2.08	2.90	3.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JS Saoura 2–2–1 ES Ben Aknoun

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/26 World Club Friendlies	ES Ben Aknoun	2-2	JS Saoura
27/02/26 Algeria Division 1	JS Saoura	1-0 HT 0-0	ES Ben Aknoun
27/09/25 Algeria Division 1	ES Ben Aknoun	1-1 HT 1-1	JS Saoura
23/02/24 Algeria Division 1	ES Ben Aknoun	2-0 HT 1-0	JS Saoura
30/09/23 Algeria Division 1	JS Saoura	1-0 HT 0-0	ES Ben Aknoun

Standings · Algeria Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MC Oran	5	4	1	0	5	0	13
2	CR Belouizdad	5	4	1	0	9	5	13
3	MB Rouissat	6	4	0	2	6	3	12
4	JS Kabylie	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
5	USM Alger	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
6	Olympique Akbou	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
7	JS El Biar	6	2	1	3	12	11	7
8	MC Alger	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
9	CS Constantine	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
10	ES Ben Aknoun	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
11	ES Setif	5	1	2	2	6	4	5
12	USM Khenchela	5	1	2	2	3	3	5
13	CR Temouchent	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
14	ASO Chlef	6	0	3	3	5	10	3
15	JS Saoura	5	0	2	3	0	6	2
16	US Biskra	6	0	2	4	3	12	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JS Saoura	ES Ben Aknoun
USM Alger	0-1 L	2-2 D
Olympique Akbou	0-0 D	1-2 L
US Biskra	0-0 D	2-2 D
JS El Biar	0-4 L	2-2 D
CR Belouizdad	0-0 D	1-3 L
ES Mostaganem	4-0 W	3-0 W
USM Khenchela	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JS Saoura (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JS Saoura

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	MB Rouissat Algeria Division 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
13/10	USM Alger Algeria Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
08/10	Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
22/09	US Biskra Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
18/09	JS El Biar Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-4	2	7	L
05/06	CS Constantine Algeria Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	1	W
20/05	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-0	14	1	D
12/05	CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
07/05	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 1	3-0	4-0	4	0	W
17/04	USM Khenchela Algeria Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	2	W

ES Ben Aknoun

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1	1-0	1-2	5	7	L
07/10	JS El Biar Algeria Division 1	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
18/09	USM Khenchela Algeria Division 1	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
10/09	US Biskra Algeria Division 1	1-2	2-2	6	3	D
03/09	ES Setif Algeria Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
06/06	Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
04/06	USM Alger Algeria Division 1	0-1	2-2	5	1	D
24/05	CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1	1-3	1-3	1	3	L
19/05	ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 1	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
21/04	MC Alger Algeria Division 1	1-0	2-3	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JS Saoura vs ES Ben Aknoun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JS Saoura win (44%). Probabilities: JS Saoura 44%, draw 31%, ES Ben Aknoun 26%.

How many goals are expected in JS Saoura vs ES Ben Aknoun?

The model expects 2.29 goals (JS Saoura 1.33 · ES Ben Aknoun 0.96), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in JS Saoura vs ES Ben Aknoun?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.