Football · Algeria Division 1 · 24/10, 18:45

Prediction: USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad

Team pages: USM Alger · CR Belouizdad

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
USM Alger1.12
CR Belouizdad1.11
1X2
34% 31% 34%
USM Alger Draw CR Belouizdad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
USM Alger 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LLDDDDWWLW
CR Belouizdad 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
LWWDDDWWWW
Head-to-head
USM Alger 2–4–0 CR Belouizdad (6 last)
  • USM Alger1-1CR Belouizdad
  • USM Alger2-1CR Belouizdad
  • CR Belouizdad0-0USM Alger
  • USM Alger2-0CR Belouizdad
  • CR Belouizdad1-1USM Alger
  • USM Alger0-0CR Belouizdad
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USM Alger 1538 · CR Belouizdad 1589
USM AlgerDrawCR Belouizdad
Our model34%32%34%
Market35%31%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CR Belouizdad (rating 1538 vs 1589).
  • H2H favours USM Alger: 2-4-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

USM AlgerCR Belouizdad
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.22.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.33.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · USM Alger 2–4–0 CR Belouizdad

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/06/26
Algeria Division 1
USM Alger1-1
HT 1-1
CR Belouizdad
30/04/26
Algeria Cup
USM Alger2-1CR Belouizdad
08/11/25
Algeria Division 1
CR Belouizdad0-0
HT 0-0
USM Alger
05/07/25
Algeria Cup
USM Alger2-0CR Belouizdad
16/03/25
Algeria Division 1
CR Belouizdad1-1
HT 0-0
USM Alger
18/10/24
Algeria Division 1
USM Alger0-0
HT 0-0
CR Belouizdad

Standings · Algeria Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MC Oran 5410 5013
2 CR Belouizdad 5410 9513
3 MB Rouissat 6402 6312
4 JS Kabylie 5311 7310
5 USM Alger 5311 6310
6 Olympique Akbou 5212 667
7 JS El Biar 6213 12117
8 MC Alger 3210 417
9 CS Constantine 6213 11127
10 ES Ben Aknoun 5131 776
11 ES Setif 5122 645
12 USM Khenchela 5122 335
13 CR Temouchent 6123 375
14 ASO Chlef 6033 5103
15 JS Saoura 5023 062
16 US Biskra 6024 3122

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUSM AlgerCR Belouizdad
JS El Biar 2-0 W 3-2 W
USM Khenchela 0-0 D 1-0 W
MC Oran 2-2 D 3-1 W
ES Ben Aknoun 2-2 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 0 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CR Belouizdad (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USM Alger

LLDDDDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/10 JS Saoura
Algeria Division 1
1-0 1-0 44 W
08/10 MB Rouissat
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-1 105 L
19/09 Olympique Akbou
Algeria Division 1
1-1 3-2 47 W
10/09 JS El Biar
Algeria Division 1
1-0 2-0 64 W
04/09 USM Khenchela
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-0 34 D
06/06 MC Oran
Algeria Division 1
2-0 2-2 03 D
04/06 ES Ben Aknoun
Algeria Division 1
1-0 2-2 21 D
02/06 CR Belouizdad
Algeria Division 1
1-1 1-1 54 D
30/05 MB Rouissat
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-1 31 L
25/05 USM Khenchela
Algeria Division 1
1-2 1-2 54 L

CR Belouizdad

LWWDDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/10 JS El Biar
Algeria Division 1
2-1 3-2 38 W
07/10 USM Khenchela
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 105 W
17/09 US Biskra
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 83 W
11/09 ES Setif
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 42 W
05/09 ASO Chlef
Algeria Division 1
3-2 3-3 41 D
05/06 JS Kabylie
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-0 73 D
02/06 USM Alger
Algeria Division 1
1-1 1-1 34 D
24/05 ES Ben Aknoun
Algeria Division 1
3-1 3-1 103 W
20/05 MC Oran
Algeria Division 1
1-0 3-1 63 W
16/05 ES Setif
Algeria Division 1
1-3 1-3 57 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USM Alger win (34%). Probabilities: USM Alger 34%, draw 31%, CR Belouizdad 34%.

How many goals are expected in USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad?

The model expects 2.23 goals (USM Alger 1.12 · CR Belouizdad 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.