Football · Algeria Division 1 · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: USM Khenchela vs JS Kabylie

Team pages: USM Khenchela · JS Kabylie

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

USM Khenchela1.08

JS Kabylie1.08

1X2

34% 32% 34%

USM Khenchela Draw JS Kabylie

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

USM Khenchela 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDDLWL

JS Kabylie 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWLWDW

Head-to-head

USM Khenchela 2–1–3 JS Kabylie (6 last)

USM Khenchela2-1JS Kabylie
JS Kabylie1-0USM Khenchela
USM Khenchela0-1JS Kabylie
JS Kabylie1-0USM Khenchela
JS Kabylie0-0USM Khenchela
USM Khenchela2-1JS Kabylie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USM Khenchela 1519 · JS Kabylie 1527

	USM Khenchela	Draw	JS Kabylie
Our model	34%	32%	34%
Market	34%	31%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JS Kabylie: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USM Khenchela	JS Kabylie
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X2.88

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.60▲	Pinn 2.81 ★
X	2.90 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
2	2.80 → 2.60▼	Pinn 2.73

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +12’	2.40	2.90	2.80
06:05 +9’	2.45▲	2.90	2.70▼
07:04 +6’	2.60▲	2.88▼	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:40 +37’	2.90	2.81	2.65
05:35 +38’	2.81▼	2.81	2.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · USM Khenchela 2–1–3 JS Kabylie

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Algeria Division 1	USM Khenchela	2-1 HT 1-1	JS Kabylie
21/10/25 Algeria Division 1	JS Kabylie	1-0 HT 0-0	USM Khenchela
04/04/25 Algeria Division 1	USM Khenchela	0-1 HT 0-0	JS Kabylie
26/10/24 Algeria Division 1	JS Kabylie	1-0 HT 1-0	USM Khenchela
24/02/24 Algeria Division 1	JS Kabylie	0-0 HT 0-0	USM Khenchela
29/09/23 Algeria Division 1	USM Khenchela	2-1 HT 0-0	JS Kabylie

Standings · Algeria Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MC Oran	5	4	1	0	5	0	13
2	CR Belouizdad	5	4	1	0	9	5	13
3	MB Rouissat	6	4	0	2	6	3	12
4	JS Kabylie	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
5	USM Alger	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
6	Olympique Akbou	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
7	JS El Biar	6	2	1	3	12	11	7
8	MC Alger	3	2	1	0	4	1	7
9	CS Constantine	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
10	ES Ben Aknoun	5	1	3	1	7	7	6
11	ES Setif	5	1	2	2	6	4	5
12	USM Khenchela	5	1	2	2	3	3	5
13	CR Temouchent	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
14	ASO Chlef	6	0	3	3	5	10	3
15	JS Saoura	5	0	2	3	0	6	2
16	US Biskra	6	0	2	4	3	12	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USM Khenchela	JS Kabylie
MC Oran	0-1 L	1-2 L
CR Belouizdad	0-1 L	0-0 D
MB Rouissat	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: JS Kabylie (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USM Khenchela

LWDWWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	MC Oran Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
12/10	CS Constantine Algeria Division 1	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
07/10	CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
18/09	ES Ben Aknoun Algeria Division 1	0-0	1-1	12	2	D
04/09	USM Alger Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/06	MB Rouissat Algeria Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
25/05	USM Alger Algeria Division 1	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
19/05	CS Constantine Algeria Division 1	2-2	2-2	5	1	D
08/05	MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/05	CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1	1-2	1-3	1	2	L

JS Kabylie

DLWWDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	US Biskra Algeria Division 1	2-1	4-1	1	2	W
14/10	ES Setif Algeria Division 1	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
09/10	ASO Chlef Algeria Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
17/09	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
04/09	MB Rouissat Algeria Division 1	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
05/06	CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
20/05	ASO Chlef Algeria Division 1	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
08/05	ES Setif Algeria Division 1	2-0	5-1	1	1	W
29/04	MC Oran Algeria Division 1	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
22/04	Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1	0-0	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USM Khenchela vs JS Kabylie?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USM Khenchela win (34%). Probabilities: USM Khenchela 34%, draw 32%, JS Kabylie 34%.

How many goals are expected in USM Khenchela vs JS Kabylie?

The model expects 2.17 goals (USM Khenchela 1.08 · JS Kabylie 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in USM Khenchela vs JS Kabylie?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.