Football · Algeria Division 1 · 08/10, 19:00

Prediction: MB Rouissat vs USM Alger

Team pages: MB Rouissat · USM Alger

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
MB Rouissat1.05
USM Alger1.08
1X2
33% 32% 35%
MB Rouissat Draw USM Alger
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
MB Rouissat 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDDWWLLWL
USM Alger 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWLLDDDDWW
Head-to-head
MB Rouissat 1–2 USM Alger (3 last)
  • MB Rouissat1-0USM Alger
  • USM Alger2-0MB Rouissat
  • USM Alger8-0MB Rouissat
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MB Rouissat 1482 · USM Alger 1544
MB RouissatDrawUSM Alger
Our model33%32%35%
Market33%32%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USM Alger (rating 1482 vs 1544).
  • H2H favours USM Alger: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MB RouissatUSM Alger
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 11.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 2.91.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.12.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · MB Rouissat 1–0–2 USM Alger

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
30/05/26
Algeria Division 1
MB Rouissat1-0
HT 0-0
USM Alger
22/12/25
Algeria Division 1
USM Alger2-0
HT 1-0
MB Rouissat
08/03/24
Algeria Cup
USM Alger8-0
HT 3-0
MB Rouissat

Standings · Algeria Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 USM Alger 3210 527
2 CR Belouizdad 3210 537
3 MC Oran 2200 306
4 ES Ben Aknoun 3120 435
5 CS Constantine 3111 564
6 CR Temouchent 3111 234
7 MC Alger 1100 203
8 JS Kabylie 2101 113
9 Olympique Akbou 3102 453
10 MB Rouissat 3102 233
11 ES Setif 3102 533
12 JS El Biar 3102 443
13 USM Khenchela 2020 112
14 US Biskra 3021 232
15 ASO Chlef 3012 371
16 JS Saoura 2011 041

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMB RouissatUSM Alger
Olympique Akbou 2-0 W 3-2 W
USM Khenchela 0-1 L 0-0 D
Paradou AC 2-1 W 4-2 W
MC Oran 1-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: USM Alger (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MB Rouissat

DLDDWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 MC Alger
Algeria Division 1
0-1 0-2 36 L
12/09 Olympique Akbou
Algeria Division 1
0-0 2-0 59 W
04/09 JS Kabylie
Algeria Division 1
0-1 0-1 54 L
05/06 USM Khenchela
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-1 36 L
30/05 USM Alger
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 31 W
19/05 Paradou AC
Algeria Division 1
2-0 2-1 44 W
08/05 MC Alger
Algeria Division 1
0-1 1-1 23 D
17/04 JS Kabylie
Algeria Division 1
1-0 1-1 00 D
09/04 MC Oran
Algeria Division 1
1-0 1-2 15 L
03/04 Olympique Akbou
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-1 34 D

USM Alger

WWLLDDDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Olympique Akbou
Algeria Division 1
1-1 3-2 47 W
10/09 JS El Biar
Algeria Division 1
1-0 2-0 64 W
04/09 USM Khenchela
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-0 34 D
06/06 MC Oran
Algeria Division 1
2-0 2-2 03 D
04/06 ES Ben Aknoun
Algeria Division 1
1-0 2-2 21 D
02/06 CR Belouizdad
Algeria Division 1
1-1 1-1 54 D
30/05 MB Rouissat
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-1 31 L
25/05 USM Khenchela
Algeria Division 1
1-2 1-2 54 L
22/05 Paradou AC
Algeria Division 1
1-1 4-2 33 W
19/05 Olympique Akbou
Algeria Division 1
1-0 1-0 41 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MB Rouissat vs USM Alger?

According to our model, the most likely result is an USM Alger win (35%). Probabilities: MB Rouissat 33%, draw 32%, USM Alger 35%.

How many goals are expected in MB Rouissat vs USM Alger?

The model expects 2.13 goals (MB Rouissat 1.05 · USM Alger 1.08), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MB Rouissat vs USM Alger?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.