Prediction: MC Oran vs ES Setif
Team pages: MC Oran · ES Setif
- ES Setif3-0MC Oran
- MC Oran0-0ES Setif
- ES Setif1-0MC Oran
- MC Oran1-0ES Setif
- MC Oran4-1ES Setif
- ES Setif1-0MC Oran
| MC Oran | Draw | ES Setif | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | 53% | 29% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MC Oran (rating 1566 vs 1518).
- H2H favours ES Setif: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MC Oran | ES Setif | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.7 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MC Oran 2–1–3 ES Setif
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Algeria Division 1 | ES Setif | 3-0 HT 1-0 | MC Oran |
| 20/11/25 Algeria Division 1 | MC Oran | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ES Setif |
| 18/04/25 Algeria Division 1 | ES Setif | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MC Oran |
| 07/11/24 Algeria Division 1 | MC Oran | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ES Setif |
| 17/05/24 Algeria Division 1 | MC Oran | 4-1 HT 1-1 | ES Setif |
| 29/12/23 Algeria Division 1 | ES Setif | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MC Oran |
Standings · Algeria Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USM Alger | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | CR Belouizdad | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | MC Oran | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | ES Ben Aknoun | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | CS Constantine | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 6 | CR Temouchent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | MC Alger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | JS Kabylie | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Olympique Akbou | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | MB Rouissat | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | JS El Biar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | USM Khenchela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 14 | US Biskra | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 15 | ASO Chlef | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | JS Saoura | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MC Oran | ES Setif |
|---|---|---|
| CR Belouizdad | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| JS Kabylie | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| CS Constantine | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: ES Setif (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MC Oran
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | ASO Chlef Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | CR Temouchent Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | USM Alger Algeria Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/05 | ASO Chlef Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | JS Kabylie Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | ES Setif Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 09/04 | MB Rouissat Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | CS Constantine Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/03 | MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
ES Setif
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | CS Constantine Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | ES Ben Aknoun Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | Paradou AC Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | MC Alger Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | JS Kabylie Algeria Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | MC Oran Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 05/04 | ES Ben Aknoun Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MC Oran vs ES Setif?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MC Oran win (53%). Probabilities: MC Oran 53%, draw 29%, ES Setif 18%.
How many goals are expected in MC Oran vs ES Setif?
The model expects 2.16 goals (MC Oran 1.43 · ES Setif 0.73), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in MC Oran vs ES Setif?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.