Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 3 · 26/09, 14:30

Prediction: Carrarese U19 vs Alcione Milano U19

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.75Total
Carrarese U192.25
Alcione Milano U191.5
1X2
54% 22% 24%
Carrarese U19 Draw Alcione Milano U19
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Carrarese U19 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLWWLW
Alcione Milano U19 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDWWWLLW
Head-to-head
Carrarese U19 0–2–0 Alcione Milano U19 (2 last)
  • Alcione Milano U193-3Carrarese U19
  • Carrarese U190-0Alcione Milano U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carrarese U19 1532 · Alcione Milano U19 1544
Carrarese U19DrawAlcione Milano U19
Our model54%22%24%
Market54%22%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Carrarese U19Alcione Milano U19
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 22.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.91.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.52 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.42.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrarese U19 0–2–0 Alcione Milano U19

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
Alcione Milano U193-3
HT 1-2
Carrarese U19
18/10/25
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
Carrarese U190-0
HT 0-0
Alcione Milano U19

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCarrarese U19Alcione Milano U19
Pro Patria U19 4-3 W 2-3 L
US Pergolettese U19 4-1 W 4-0 W
Mantova U19 2-3 L 1-0 W
Torres U19 2-2 D 4-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Alcione Milano U19 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carrarese U19

WWDDLLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/04 Pro Patria U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
2-2 4-3 67 W
11/04 Pro Patria U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
1-1 2-4 16 L
28/03 US Pergolettese U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
1-1 4-1 37 W
14/03 Lumezzane U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
3-1 5-2 62 W
07/03 Mantova U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
1-1 2-3 31 L
28/02 Pro Patria U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
0-1 0-1 12 L
21/02 Torres U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
1-1 2-2 133 D
07/02 Alcione Milano U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
2-1 3-3 35 D
31/01 Arzignano Valchiampo U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
1-0 3-1 73 W
24/01 Triestina U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
2-0 5-0 23 W

Alcione Milano U19

WWDDWWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Torres U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
2-0 4-2 20 W
02/05 Pro Patria U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
1-1 2-3 106 L
25/04 Pro Patria U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
0-1 1-4 30 L
18/04 US Pergolettese U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
1-0 4-0 60 W
11/04 US Pergolettese U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
3-0 3-1 33 W
28/03 Virtus Verona U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
3-0 4-1 54 W
07/03 Pro Patria U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
0-0 0-0 24 D
07/02 Carrarese U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
1-2 3-3 75 D
24/01 Mantova U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
0-0 1-0 24 W
13/12 AC Carpi U19
Italy Campionato Primavera 3
2-2 3-2 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carrarese U19 vs Alcione Milano U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carrarese U19 win (54%). Probabilities: Carrarese U19 54%, draw 22%, Alcione Milano U19 24%.

How many goals are expected in Carrarese U19 vs Alcione Milano U19?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Carrarese U19 2.25 · Alcione Milano U19 1.5), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Carrarese U19 vs Alcione Milano U19?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.