Prediction: FC Urartu vs Ararat Yerevan
Team pages: FC Urartu · Ararat Yerevan
- Ararat Yerevan0-1FC Urartu
- FC Urartu2-3Ararat Yerevan
- Ararat Yerevan0-3FC Urartu
- Ararat Yerevan0-1FC Urartu
- FC Urartu6-0Ararat Yerevan
- Ararat Yerevan2-4FC Urartu
| FC Urartu | Draw | Ararat Yerevan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Urartu (rating 1510 vs 1447).
- H2H favours FC Urartu: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Urartu | Ararat Yerevan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.2 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Urartu 5–0–1 Ararat Yerevan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Armenia Premier League | Ararat Yerevan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Urartu |
| 01/04/26 Armenian Cup | FC Urartu | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Ararat Yerevan |
| 03/03/26 Armenian Cup | Ararat Yerevan | 0-3 HT 0-0 | FC Urartu |
| 03/11/25 Armenia Premier League | Ararat Yerevan | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Urartu |
| 19/09/25 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Ararat Yerevan |
| 24/05/25 Armenia Premier League | Ararat Yerevan | 2-4 HT 1-1 | FC Urartu |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Ararat Armenia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pyunik Yerevan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Alashkert FC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | FC Urartu | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 6 | Sardarapat FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 7 | Shirak | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Ararat Yerevan | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 10 |
| 9 | BKMA FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Van | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 7 |
| 11 | Gandzasar Kapan | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 3 |
| 12 | Syunik | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Urartu | Ararat Yerevan |
|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar Kapan | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Noah | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| BKMA FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Alashkert FC | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Syunik | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ararat Armenia | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Pyunik Yerevan | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Urartu (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Urartu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/05 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
Ararat Yerevan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/05 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 19/05 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
1-3 | 3-8 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Urartu vs Ararat Yerevan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Urartu win (59%). Probabilities: FC Urartu 59%, draw 24%, Ararat Yerevan 18%.
How many goals are expected in FC Urartu vs Ararat Yerevan?
The model expects 2.82 goals (FC Urartu 1.88 · Ararat Yerevan 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Urartu vs Ararat Yerevan?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.