Football · Armenia Premier League · 12/10, 17:00

Prediction: Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA FC

Team pages: Pyunik Yerevan · BKMA FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Pyunik Yerevan2.18
BKMA FC0.64
1X2
72% 18% 9%
Pyunik Yerevan Draw BKMA FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Pyunik Yerevan 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWDWWD
BKMA FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDLLLWWLD
Head-to-head
Pyunik Yerevan 5–1 BKMA FC (6 last)
  • Pyunik Yerevan2-0BKMA FC
  • BKMA FC1-2Pyunik Yerevan
  • Pyunik Yerevan2-1BKMA FC
  • Pyunik Yerevan1-2BKMA FC
  • BKMA FC1-2Pyunik Yerevan
  • Pyunik Yerevan4-1BKMA FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pyunik Yerevan 1585 · BKMA FC 1449
Pyunik YerevanDrawBKMA FC
Our model72%19%9%
Market73%18%9%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pyunik Yerevan (rating 1585 vs 1449).
  • H2H favours Pyunik Yerevan: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pyunik YerevanBKMA FC
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.91.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 51.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 03.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyunik Yerevan 5–0–1 BKMA FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Armenia Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan2-0
HT 1-0
BKMA FC
02/11/25
Armenia Premier League
BKMA FC1-2
HT 0-1
Pyunik Yerevan
20/09/25
Armenia Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan2-1
HT 2-0
BKMA FC
04/05/25
Armenia Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan1-2
HT 0-0
BKMA FC
23/10/24
Armenia Premier League
BKMA FC1-2
HT 1-2
Pyunik Yerevan
20/09/24
Armenia Premier League
Pyunik Yerevan4-1
HT 1-1
BKMA FC

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Noah 9900 26627
2 Ararat Armenia 9621 18920
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8530 18818
4 Alashkert FC 9441 19716
5 FC Urartu 9333 141212
6 Sardarapat FC 9333 151712
7 Shirak 8314 111010
8 Ararat Yerevan 9315 81510
9 BKMA FC 8224 8108
10 FC Van 9216 6217
11 Gandzasar Kapan 9108 8223
12 Syunik 8026 3172

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPyunik YerevanBKMA FC
Alashkert FC 3-3 D 0-3 L
Shirak 2-0 W 0-0 D
Sardarapat FC 4-2 W 1-1 D
Ararat Armenia 2-1 W 2-3 L
Ararat Yerevan 2-0 W 1-2 L
FC Van 3-0 W 1-2 L
FC Urartu 2-2 D 2-1 W
FC Noah 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 5 W 3 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Pyunik Yerevan (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pyunik Yerevan

DWDWWWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
2-1 3-3 46 D
13/09 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-0 2-0 –– W
09/09 Sardarapat FC
Armenia Premier League
1-1 4-2 61 W
04/09 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 –– D
31/08 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
2-0 2-1 23 W
21/08 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 2-0 –– W
09/08 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-0 61 W
02/08 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-2 –– D
27/05 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
1-1 2-1 72 W
23/05 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 –– D

BKMA FC

LDDLLLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Sardarapat FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-1 65 D
11/09 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
1-0 1-2 34 L
06/09 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-1 25 W
30/08 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 3-0 24 W
23/08 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 12 L
15/08 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-2 42 L
10/08 Alashkert FC
Armenia Premier League
0-2 0-3 70 L
01/08 Shirak
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 –– D
26/05 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 1-1 05 D
17/05 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-3 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pyunik Yerevan win (72%). Probabilities: Pyunik Yerevan 72%, draw 18%, BKMA FC 9%.

How many goals are expected in Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA FC?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Pyunik Yerevan 2.18 · BKMA FC 0.64), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.