Football · Lithuania A Lyga Women · 26/09, 12:00

Prediction: FK Banga (W) vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)

Team pages: FK Banga (W) · FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
FK Banga (W)0.78
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)2.78
1X2
6% 11% 83%
FK Banga (W) Draw FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Banga (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LDDWDLLWLL
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWLWWWW
Head-to-head
FK Banga (W) 1–1–4 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) (6 last)
  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-2FK Banga (W)
  • FK Banga (W)0-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-0FK Banga (W)
  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-0FK Banga (W)
  • FK Banga (W)1-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-1FK Banga (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Banga (W) 1459 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 1582
FK Banga (W)DrawFK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
Our model7%15%78%
Market6%8%87%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) (rating 1459 vs 1582).
  • H2H favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Banga (W)FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 32.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.51.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.12.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 01.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Banga (W) 1–1–4 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/26
Lithuania A Lyga Women
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-2
HT 1-1
FK Banga (W)
16/05/26
Lithuania A Lyga Women
FK Banga (W)0-0
HT 0-0
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
15/03/26
Lithuania A Lyga Women
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-0
HT 3-0
FK Banga (W)
31/08/25
Lithuania A Lyga Women
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-0
HT 2-0
FK Banga (W)
08/06/25
Lithuania A Lyga Women
FK Banga (W)1-0
HT 1-0
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
19/04/25
Lithuania A Lyga Women
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-1
HT 1-1
FK Banga (W)

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK Banga (W)FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
MFA Zalgiris (W) 0-9 L 2-1 W
Gintra Universitetas (W) 3-7 L 0-1 L
Kauno Rajono FA (W) 2-1 W 2-0 W
FK Transinvest (W) 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Banga (W)

LDDWDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 MFA Zalgiris (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
0-3 0-9 20 L
09/09 Gintra Universitetas (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
2-3 3-7 63 L
15/08 Kauno Rajono FA (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
1-0 2-1 62 W
09/08 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
1-1 2-3 23 L
29/06 MFA Zalgiris (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
0-3 0-3 00 L
31/05 Kauno Rajono FA (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
0-1 1-1 92 D
27/05 FK Transinvest (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
1-0 2-1 64 W
16/05 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
0-0 0-0 46 D
02/05 FK Transinvest (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
1-1 2-2 32 D
15/03 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
0-3 0-3 31 L

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)

LWDWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 FA Siauliai (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
3-0 3-0 41 W
13/09 MFA Zalgiris (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
1-0 2-1 10 W
05/09 FK Transinvest (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
2-0 2-1 72 W
31/08 FK Transinvest (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
2-0 4-1 82 W
30/08 Gintra Universitetas (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
0-0 0-1 12 L
23/08 Kauno Rajono FA (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
2-0 2-0 72 W
09/08 FK Banga (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
1-1 3-2 113 W
25/06 MFA Zalgiris (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
0-0 1-1 21 D
18/06 FK Transinvest (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
1-0 5-0 81 W
14/06 Gintra Universitetas (W)
Lithuania A Lyga Women
0-1 0-1 15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Banga (W) vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) win (83%). Probabilities: FK Banga (W) 6%, draw 11%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 83%.

How many goals are expected in FK Banga (W) vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)?

The model expects 3.56 goals (FK Banga (W) 0.78 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 2.78), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Banga (W) vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.