Prediction: Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya
Team pages: Al Ahed · Reyady Abaseya
- Al Ahed4-1Reyady Abaseya
- Al Ahed0-1Reyady Abaseya
- Al Ahed1-0Reyady Abaseya
- Reyady Abaseya0-3Al Ahed
- Reyady Abaseya1-3Al Ahed
| Al Ahed | Draw | Reyady Abaseya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ahed (rating 1498 vs 1447).
- H2H favours Al Ahed: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ahed | Reyady Abaseya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 71/29/0% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 2.7 | 1.4 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ahed 4–0–1 Reyady Abaseya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Lebanon Cup | Al Ahed | 4-1 | Reyady Abaseya |
| 24/01/26 Lebanon League | Al Ahed | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Reyady Abaseya |
| 22/11/25 Lebanon Cup | Al Ahed | 1-0 | Reyady Abaseya |
| 20/09/25 Lebanon League | Reyady Abaseya | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Al Ahed |
| 14/03/25 Lebanon League | Reyady Abaseya | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Al Ahed |
Standings · Lebanon League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jwaya FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | AC Tripoli | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Tadamon Sour | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Safa Beirut | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Al Ahed | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Al Nejmeh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Ansar Beirut | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sagesse SC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 9 | Reyady Abaseya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | Shabab Al-Sahel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | Akhaa Ahli Aley | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | Al-Mabarrah | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Ahed | Reyady Abaseya |
|---|---|---|
| Sagesse SC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Jwaya FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Shabab Al-Sahel | 4-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ahed (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ahed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/10 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 09/10 | AC Tripoli Lebanon League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 28/07 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 20/07 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/07 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 28/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
Reyady Abaseya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/10 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
– | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 13/07 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 02/07 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ahed win (63%). Probabilities: Al Ahed 63%, draw 22%, Reyady Abaseya 15%.
How many goals are expected in Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Al Ahed 2 · Reyady Abaseya 0.89), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.