Football · Kosovo Superliga · 13/10, 18:00

Prediction: KF Gjilani vs KF Drenica Skenderaj

Team pages: KF Gjilani · KF Drenica Skenderaj

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

KF Gjilani1.48

KF Drenica Skenderaj0.97

1X2

48% 28% 24%

KF Gjilani Draw KF Drenica Skenderaj

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Gjilani 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLWDLL

KF Drenica Skenderaj 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDLDLWWD

Head-to-head

KF Gjilani 3–3 KF Drenica Skenderaj (6 last)

KF Drenica Skenderaj2-1KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani0-1KF Drenica Skenderaj
KF Drenica Skenderaj0-1KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani0-1KF Drenica Skenderaj
KF Gjilani1-0KF Drenica Skenderaj
KF Drenica Skenderaj1-2KF Gjilani

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Gjilani 1514 · KF Drenica Skenderaj 1506

	KF Gjilani	Draw	KF Drenica Skenderaj
Our model	48%	29%	23%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Gjilani	KF Drenica Skenderaj
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/56/0%	14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	1.1 / 1.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.1	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.25

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:04 +3’	1.85	3.25	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Gjilani 3–0–3 KF Drenica Skenderaj

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	2-1	KF Gjilani
14/03/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	0-1 HT 0-1	KF Drenica Skenderaj
29/11/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	0-1 HT 0-0	KF Gjilani
25/09/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	0-1 HT 0-0	KF Drenica Skenderaj
23/04/23 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	1-0	KF Drenica Skenderaj
22/02/23 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	1-2 HT 1-1	KF Gjilani

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malisheva	8	6	1	1	20	6	19
2	FC Prishtina	7	6	1	0	18	4	19
3	KF Drita	8	4	2	2	9	6	14
4	KF Dukagjini	8	3	4	1	8	5	13
5	KF Ballkani	9	4	1	4	10	9	13
6	KF Gjilani	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	8	2	4	2	11	9	10
8	KF Feronikeli	8	2	1	5	7	15	7
9	KF Llapi	8	1	0	7	8	22	3
10	KF Vushtrria	8	1	0	7	4	20	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Gjilani	KF Drenica Skenderaj
KF Vushtrria	0-1 L	3-0 W
FC Prishtina	1-2 L	1-4 L
KF Drita	0-0 D	0-0 D
KF Ballkani	1-0 W	0-2 L
Malisheva	1-3 L	1-1 D
KF Dukagjini	2-2 D	0-0 D
KF Llapi	2-0 W	4-0 W
KF Feronikeli	3-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Gjilani

WWWWDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	12	2	L
18/09	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
13/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	1	10	D
09/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
06/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
29/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
23/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
14/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
31/05	KF Prishtina e Re Kosovo Superliga	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/05	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	1-0	2-0	2	6	W

KF Drenica Skenderaj

WWDDLDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
20/09	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	3-0	4-0	1	5	W
13/09	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
08/09	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-4	2	5	L
05/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
28/08	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
21/08	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
15/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
31/05	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	KF Ferizaj Kosovo Superliga	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Gjilani vs KF Drenica Skenderaj?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Gjilani win (48%). Probabilities: KF Gjilani 48%, draw 28%, KF Drenica Skenderaj 24%.

How many goals are expected in KF Gjilani vs KF Drenica Skenderaj?

The model expects 2.45 goals (KF Gjilani 1.48 · KF Drenica Skenderaj 0.97), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Gjilani vs KF Drenica Skenderaj?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.