Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 27/09, 01:00
Prediction: Deportivo Cali (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Team pages: Deportivo Cali (W) · Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Deportivo Cali (W)1.87
Independiente Santa Fe (W)0.78
1X2
Deportivo Cali (W)
Draw
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Cali (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Cali (W)
3–2–1
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
(6 last)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)2-3Deportivo Cali (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)0-0Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)3-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)1-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)1-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)1-0Deportivo Cali (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Cali (W) 1552 · Independiente Santa Fe (W) 1522
| Deportivo Cali (W) | Draw | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Cali (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Cali (W) | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cali (W) 3–2–1 Independiente Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 09/09/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 30/08/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 23/03/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 22/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 15/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | America de Cali (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Orsomarso (W) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Cali (W) | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
|---|---|---|
| America de Cali (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Orsomarso (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Millonarios (W) | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Santa Fe (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/09 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/09 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/08 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/08 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cali (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cali (W) 62%, draw 24%, Independiente Santa Fe (W) 14%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Deportivo Cali (W) 1.87 · Independiente Santa Fe (W) 0.78), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.