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Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 03/10, 21:30

Prediction: Sao Paulo (W) vs Corinthians (W)

Team pages: Sao Paulo (W) · Corinthians (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Sao Paulo (W)1.26
Corinthians (W)1.31
1X2
35% 29% 37%
Sao Paulo (W) Draw Corinthians (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sao Paulo (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDWWWW
Corinthians (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDLWWWWL
Head-to-head
Sao Paulo (W) 2–4 Corinthians (W) (6 last)
  • Corinthians (W)1-2Sao Paulo (W)
  • Corinthians (W)2-1Sao Paulo (W)
  • Corinthians (W)1-2Sao Paulo (W)
  • Corinthians (W)2-1Sao Paulo (W)
  • Sao Paulo (W)1-2Corinthians (W)
  • Corinthians (W)3-1Sao Paulo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sao Paulo (W) 1598 · Corinthians (W) 1604
Sao Paulo (W)DrawCorinthians (W)
Our model34%29%37%
Market35%29%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Corinthians (W): 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sao Paulo (W)Corinthians (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.51.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.31.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.23.4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 03.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Paulo (W) 2–0–4 Corinthians (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/09/26
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Corinthians (W)1-2
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo (W)
12/05/26
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Corinthians (W)2-1
HT 2-0
Sao Paulo (W)
08/05/26
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)1-2
HT 1-2
Sao Paulo (W)
05/12/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)2-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo (W)
22/11/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Sao Paulo (W)1-2
HT 1-1
Corinthians (W)
01/11/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)3-1
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sao Paulo (W) 171322 311141
2 Corinthians (W) 171223 421838
3 Palmeiras (W) 171061 321136
4 Ferroviaria (W) 17872 231431
5 Flamengo (W) 17863 292030
6 Bahia (W) 17854 302129
7 Cruzeiro (W) 17773 301928
8 Gremio (W) 17836 231627
9 Internacional (W) 17836 211727
10 Bragantino (W) 17827 302626
11 Fluminense RJ (W) 17755 231926
12 Santos (W) 17656 222323
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 17449 172516
14 Mixto EC (W) 17269 102712
15 EC Juventude (W) 172510 92211
16 America MG (W) 171412 9347
17 EC Vitoria (W) 171412 15457
18 Botafogo (W) 171214 10385

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSao Paulo (W)Corinthians (W)
Flamengo (W) 1-0 W 1-0 W
EC Vitoria (W) 3-1 W 4-0 W
Cruzeiro (W) 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sao Paulo (W)

WWWWWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-1 2-1 12 W
19/09 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 1-0 44 W
12/09 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 3-1 80 W
05/09 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 2-0 85 W
29/08 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 0-0 45 D
22/08 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 1-0 16 W
16/08 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-1 5-1 41 W
09/08 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 1-0 23 W
02/08 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 3-0 3-1 57 W
25/07 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-1 2-1 54 W

Corinthians (W)

WWWDLWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-1 1-2 72 L
22/09 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-0 1-0 87 W
16/09 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-0 1-0 74 W
07/09 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-1 3-1 63 W
01/09 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 1-0 142 W
22/08 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-2 1-3 92 L
15/08 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-0 1-1 53 D
09/08 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-0 4-1 32 W
03/08 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-0 1-0 35 W
26/07 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-0 4-0 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sao Paulo (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Corinthians (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Sao Paulo (W) 35%, draw 29%, Corinthians (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Sao Paulo (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Sao Paulo (W) 1.26 · Corinthians (W) 1.31), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sao Paulo (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.