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Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 26/09, 21:30

Prediction: Corinthians (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)

Team pages: Corinthians (W) · Sao Paulo (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Corinthians (W)1.53
Sao Paulo (W)1.07
1X2
47% 28% 25%
Corinthians (W) Draw Sao Paulo (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Corinthians (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWDLWWWW
Sao Paulo (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWDWWW
Head-to-head
Corinthians (W) 4–2 Sao Paulo (W) (6 last)
  • Corinthians (W)2-1Sao Paulo (W)
  • Corinthians (W)1-2Sao Paulo (W)
  • Corinthians (W)2-1Sao Paulo (W)
  • Sao Paulo (W)1-2Corinthians (W)
  • Corinthians (W)3-1Sao Paulo (W)
  • Sao Paulo (W)3-1Corinthians (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corinthians (W) 1618 · Sao Paulo (W) 1585
Corinthians (W)DrawSao Paulo (W)
Our model47%28%25%
Market47%28%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Corinthians (W): 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Corinthians (W)Sao Paulo (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 0.72.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.30.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 6.92.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.23.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians (W) 4–0–2 Sao Paulo (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/05/26
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Corinthians (W)2-1
HT 2-0
Sao Paulo (W)
08/05/26
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)1-2
HT 1-2
Sao Paulo (W)
05/12/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)2-1
HT 0-1
Sao Paulo (W)
22/11/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Sao Paulo (W)1-2
HT 1-1
Corinthians (W)
01/11/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)3-1
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo (W)
24/09/25
Copa do Brazil Women
Sao Paulo (W)3-1
HT 1-1
Corinthians (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sao Paulo (W) 171322 311141
2 Corinthians (W) 171223 421838
3 Palmeiras (W) 171061 321136
4 Ferroviaria (W) 17872 231431
5 Flamengo (W) 17863 292030
6 Bahia (W) 17854 302129
7 Cruzeiro (W) 17773 301928
8 Gremio (W) 17836 231627
9 Internacional (W) 17836 211727
10 Bragantino (W) 17827 302626
11 Fluminense RJ (W) 17755 231926
12 Santos (W) 17656 222323
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 17449 172516
14 Mixto EC (W) 17269 102712
15 EC Juventude (W) 172510 92211
16 America MG (W) 171412 9347
17 EC Vitoria (W) 171412 15457
18 Botafogo (W) 171214 10385

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorinthians (W)Sao Paulo (W)
Cruzeiro (W) 3-1 W 2-1 W
Santos (W) 4-1 W 3-0 W
Flamengo (W) 1-0 W 1-0 W
EC Vitoria (W) 4-0 W 3-1 W
Mixto EC (W) 4-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 0 L 5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corinthians (W)

WWWWDLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/09 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-0 1-0 87 W
16/09 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-0 1-0 74 W
07/09 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-1 3-1 63 W
01/09 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 1-0 142 W
22/08 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-2 1-3 92 L
15/08 Bahia (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-0 1-1 53 D
09/08 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-0 4-1 32 W
03/08 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-0 1-0 35 W
26/07 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-0 4-0 63 W
26/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 3-0 4-1 87 W

Sao Paulo (W)

WWWWWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 1-0 44 W
12/09 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 3-1 80 W
05/09 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 2-0 85 W
29/08 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 0-0 45 D
22/08 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 1-0 16 W
16/08 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-1 5-1 41 W
09/08 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 0-0 1-0 23 W
02/08 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 3-0 3-1 57 W
25/07 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 1-1 2-1 54 W
25/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
 2-0 3-0 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corinthians (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Corinthians (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Corinthians (W) 47%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Corinthians (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Corinthians (W) 1.53 · Sao Paulo (W) 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Corinthians (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.