Football · Greece Super League 2 · 27/09, 17:00

Prediction: Athens Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis B

Team pages: Athens Kallithea · Asteras Tripolis B

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Athens Kallithea1.58
Asteras Tripolis B0.75
1X2
56% 27% 16%
Athens Kallithea Draw Asteras Tripolis B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Athens Kallithea 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWDDWWLW
Asteras Tripolis B 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLWDLDLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Athens Kallithea 1515 · Asteras Tripolis B 1464
Athens KallitheaDrawAsteras Tripolis B
Our model56%27%16%
Market57%27%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athens Kallithea (rating 1515 vs 1464).
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Athens KallitheaAsteras Tripolis B
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.80.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 3.22.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 03.3 / 0.1

Standings · Greece Super League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Marko 3300 739
2 Hellas Syrou 3210 937
3 Panionios 3210 307
4 Athens Kallithea 3201 546
5 Panthrakikos 2110 204
6 Larissa 2110 214
6 Nestos Chrisoupolis 2110 214
8 Olympiacos B 3111 564
9 Panserraikos 3102 233
10 Asteras Tripolis B 3102 133
11 Anagennisi Karditsas 3021 142
12 Pyrgos AFC 2011 011
13 Apollon Kalamarias 3012 241
14 PAOK Salonika B 2011 131
15 Zakynthos 3012 261
16 Niki Volou 2002 240

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAthens KallitheaAsteras Tripolis B
Panserraikos 2-1 W 0-1 L
Niki Volou 2-1 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Athens Kallithea (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athens Kallithea

DWDWDDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Panserraikos
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-1 68 W
12/09 Marko
Greece Super League 2
1-1 1-2 18 L
07/09 Niki Volou
Greece Super League 2
2-0 2-1 48 W
25/04 Kissamikos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 21 W
19/04 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 D
04/04 Panargiakos
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-1 33 D
29/03 Ilioupoli
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 25 W
21/03 Egaleo
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-1 37 D
15/03 Kissamikos
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-1 56 W
07/03 Hellas Syrou
Greece Super League 2
1-1 1-1 35 D

Asteras Tripolis B

DLWDLDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Apollon Kalamarias
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-0 23 W
13/09 Panserraikos
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-1 32 L
06/09 Panionios
Greece Super League 2
0-2 0-2 86 L
22/03 Niki Volou
Greece Super League 2
0-2 0-3 44 L
14/03 Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-2 62 D
08/03 Iraklis 1908 FC
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-2 12 L
28/02 Niki Volou
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-1 75 D
22/02 Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 21 W
14/02 Iraklis 1908 FC
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-2 34 L
24/01 Kavala
Greece Super League 2
0-1 1-1 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athens Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athens Kallithea win (56%). Probabilities: Athens Kallithea 56%, draw 27%, Asteras Tripolis B 16%.

How many goals are expected in Athens Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis B?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Athens Kallithea 1.58 · Asteras Tripolis B 0.75), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Athens Kallithea vs Asteras Tripolis B?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.