Football · Greece Super League 2 · 04/10, 17:00

Prediction: Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Marko

Team pages: Nestos Chrisoupolis · Marko

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Nestos Chrisoupolis0.62
Marko1.54
1X2
15% 26% 59%
Nestos Chrisoupolis Draw Marko
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Nestos Chrisoupolis 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDDWLL
Marko 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDLWWDWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nestos Chrisoupolis 1502 · Marko 1552
Nestos ChrisoupolisDrawMarko
Our model14%28%58%
Market15%25%60%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marko (rating 1502 vs 1552).
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nestos ChrisoupolisMarko
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.10.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 32.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.24.4 / 0

Standings · Greece Super League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Marko 4400 9412
2 Larissa 4310 7110
3 Panionios 4310 4010
4 Athens Kallithea 4301 749
5 Hellas Syrou 4220 938
6 Panthrakikos 4211 427
7 PAOK Salonika B 4112 354
8 Olympiacos B 4112 6104
9 Apollon Kalamarias 4112 344
10 Nestos Chrisoupolis 4112 354
11 Niki Volou 4103 453
12 Asteras Tripolis B 4103 153
13 Panserraikos 4202 642
14 Anagennisi Karditsas 4022 152
15 Pyrgos AFC 4022 052
16 Zakynthos 4013 271

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nestos Chrisoupolis

WWWDWDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Niki Volou
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-2 02 L
21/09 PAOK Salonika B
Greece Super League 2
0-1 1-2 57 L
13/09 Pyrgos AFC
Greece Super League 2
1-0 1-0 44 W
06/09 Zakynthos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-1 34 D
26/04 Kavala
Greece Super League 2
1-0 2-2 18 D
22/04 Giannina
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 28 W
18/04 PAOK Salonika B
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-1 10 D
08/04 Makedonikos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-0 92 W
05/04 Kampaniakos
Greece Super League 2
2-0 3-0 20 W
14/03 Kavala
Greece Super League 2
0-0 2-1 313 W

Marko

DDLWWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/09 Panthrakikos
Greece Super League 2
1-0 2-1 64 W
20/09 Olympiacos B
Greece Super League 2
1-0 4-2 –– W
12/09 Athens Kallithea
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-1 78 W
07/09 Panserraikos
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-0 17 W
21/03 Kalamata
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 123 D
15/03 Panionios
Greece Super League 2
1-1 2-1 83 W
07/03 Olympiacos B
Greece Super League 2
1-0 3-0 44 W
01/03 Kalamata
Greece Super League 2
0-1 0-2 12 L
21/02 Panionios
Greece Super League 2
0-0 0-0 34 D
15/02 Olympiacos B
Greece Super League 2
0-0 1-1 115 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Marko?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Marko win (59%). Probabilities: Nestos Chrisoupolis 15%, draw 26%, Marko 59%.

How many goals are expected in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Marko?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Nestos Chrisoupolis 0.62 · Marko 1.54), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Marko?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.