Football · India Mizoram Premier League · 30/09, 15:30

Prediction: Mizoram Police FC vs Kanan FC

Team pages: Mizoram Police FC · Kanan FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Mizoram Police FC2.1

Kanan FC0.97

1X2

63% 21% 16%

Mizoram Police FC Draw Kanan FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Mizoram Police FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Kanan FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mizoram Police FC 1–2–0 Kanan FC (3 last)

Kanan FC1-1Mizoram Police FC
Mizoram Police FC2-1Kanan FC
Kanan FC3-3Mizoram Police FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mizoram Police FC 1521 · Kanan FC 1438

	Mizoram Police FC	Draw	Kanan FC
Our model	63%	22%	15%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mizoram Police FC (rating 1521 vs 1438).
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mizoram Police FC	Kanan FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	2.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:08 +3’	1.42	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mizoram Police FC 1–2–0 Kanan FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/09/26 India Mizoram Premier League	Kanan FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Mizoram Police FC
14/10/25 India Mizoram Premier League	Mizoram Police FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Kanan FC
15/09/25 India Mizoram Premier League	Kanan FC	3-3	Mizoram Police FC

Standings · India Mizoram Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aizawl FC XI	9	7	2	0	31	5	23
2	Chanmari FC	9	5	3	1	19	9	18
3	Mizoram Police FC	9	4	4	1	13	8	16
4	Dinthar FC	9	4	0	5	9	16	12
5	MLS FC Lawngtlai	9	3	1	5	10	17	10
6	Saikhamakawn FC	9	3	0	6	13	18	9
7	Ramthar Veng FC	9	1	4	4	9	17	7
8	Kanan FC	9	1	2	6	10	24	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mizoram Police FC	Kanan FC
Chanmari FC	1-2 L	1-5 L
MLS FC Lawngtlai	1-0 W	0-3 L
Aizawl FC XI	1-1 D	0-5 L
Saikhamakawn FC	2-1 W	5-2 W
Ramthar Veng FC	3-3 D	1-1 D
Dinthar FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mizoram Police FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mizoram Police FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
19/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
16/09	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
11/09	Kanan FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
08/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
04/09	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
02/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	2-1	3-3	3	5	D
28/08	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
26/08	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
21/10	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L

Kanan FC

WLLLLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
19/09	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	3-1	5-2	4	5	W
15/09	Ramthar Veng FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
11/09	Mizoram Police FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
08/09	Saikhamakawn FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
04/09	MLS FC Lawngtlai India Mizoram Premier League	0-0	0-3	5	1	L
02/09	Aizawl FC XI India Mizoram Premier League	0-1	0-5	0	0	L
29/08	Dinthar FC India Mizoram Premier League	1-0	1-3	4	5	L
25/08	Chanmari FC India Mizoram Premier League	0-4	1-5	2	5	L
20/10	SYS FC India Mizoram Premier League	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mizoram Police FC vs Kanan FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mizoram Police FC win (63%). Probabilities: Mizoram Police FC 63%, draw 21%, Kanan FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Mizoram Police FC vs Kanan FC?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Mizoram Police FC 2.1 · Kanan FC 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mizoram Police FC vs Kanan FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.