Football · England National League Division 1 Women · 20/09, 15:00
Prediction: Barnsley FC (W) vs Sutton Coldfield (W)
Team pages: Barnsley FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Barnsley FC (W)2.02
Sutton Coldfield (W)0.88
1X2
Barnsley FC (W)
Draw
Sutton Coldfield (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Barnsley FC (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Sutton Coldfield (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barnsley FC (W)
1–1–1
Sutton Coldfield (W)
(3 last)
- Barnsley FC (W)2-1Sutton Coldfield (W)
- Sutton Coldfield (W)0-0Barnsley FC (W)
- Barnsley FC (W)0-1Sutton Coldfield (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barnsley FC (W) 1535 · Sutton Coldfield (W) 1459
| Barnsley FC (W) | Draw | Sutton Coldfield (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| Market | 65% | 19% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barnsley FC (W) (rating 1535 vs 1459).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barnsley FC (W) | Sutton Coldfield (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.9 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnsley FC (W) 1–1–1 Sutton Coldfield (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 England National League Division 1 Women | Barnsley FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sutton Coldfield (W) |
| 02/11/25 England National League Division 1 Women | Sutton Coldfield (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barnsley FC (W) |
| 23/02/25 England National League Division 1 Women | Barnsley FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sutton Coldfield (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barnsley FC (W) | Sutton Coldfield (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Notts County (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Sheffield FC (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Leafield Athletic (W) | 3-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Boldmere St Michaels (W) | 1-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Barnsley FC (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barnsley FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Worcester City (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Northampton (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Notts County (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 26/03 | Sheffield FC (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Sutton Coldfield (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Stourbridge (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 08/02 | Lincoln United (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 25/01 | Leafield Athletic (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/01 | Boldmere St Michaels (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/12 | Worcester City (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
Sutton Coldfield (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Chesterfield (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Kidderminster (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Sheffield FC (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 05/04 | Northampton (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Barnsley FC (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/03 | Leafield Athletic (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 01/03 | Northampton (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/02 | Boldmere St Michaels (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 08/02 | Peterborough (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 25/01 | Notts County (W) England National League Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barnsley FC (W) vs Sutton Coldfield (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnsley FC (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Barnsley FC (W) 64%, draw 21%, Sutton Coldfield (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley FC (W) vs Sutton Coldfield (W)?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Barnsley FC (W) 2.02 · Sutton Coldfield (W) 0.88), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Barnsley FC (W) vs Sutton Coldfield (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.