Football · Taiwan Premier League · 11/10, 10:00

Prediction: AC Taipei vs Taichung Rock FC

Team pages: AC Taipei · Taichung Rock FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
AC Taipei1.88
Taichung Rock FC1.02
1X2
57% 24% 19%
AC Taipei Draw Taichung Rock FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Taipei 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWWLLW
Taichung Rock FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWWDWLLWLL
Head-to-head
AC Taipei 1–1–1 Taichung Rock FC (3 last)
  • Taichung Rock FC1-2AC Taipei
  • Taichung Rock FC3-1AC Taipei
  • AC Taipei2-2Taichung Rock FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Taipei 1545 · Taichung Rock FC 1501
AC TaipeiDrawTaichung Rock FC
Our model57%24%19%
Market57%24%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Taipei (rating 1545 vs 1501).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC TaipeiTaichung Rock FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.81.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.20.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.31.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 03.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Taipei 1–1–1 Taichung Rock FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Taiwan Premier League
Taichung Rock FC1-2
HT 0-0
AC Taipei
01/03/26
Taiwan Premier League
Taichung Rock FC3-1
HT 2-1
AC Taipei
26/10/25
Taiwan Premier League
AC Taipei2-2
HT 1-1
Taichung Rock FC

Standings · Taiwan Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kaohsiung Attackers FC 1100 523
2 Taiwan Power Company 1100 103
2 Taipei City Tatung 1100 103
4 Hang Yuen 1010 111
4 Tainan City 1010 111
6 AC Taipei 1001 010
6 Taichung Futuro 1001 010
8 Taichung Rock FC 1001 250

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC TaipeiTaichung Rock FC
Tainan City 2-0 W 2-4 L
Taiwan Power Company 0-1 L 1-3 L
Hang Yuen 0-2 L 2-0 W
Ming Chuan University 2-1 W 3-0 W
Taipei City Tatung 1-1 D 1-0 W
Taichung Futuro 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Taichung Rock FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Taipei

DWWDWWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Tainan City
Taiwan Premier League
2-0 2-0 14 W
13/09 Taiwan Power Company
Taiwan Premier League
0-0 0-1 64 L
24/05 Hang Yuen
Taiwan Premier League
0-1 0-2 31 L
17/05 Taichung Rock FC
Taiwan Premier League
0-0 2-1 33 W
10/05 Ming Chuan University
Taiwan Premier League
1-0 2-1 62 W
03/05 Tainan City
Taiwan Premier League
1-0 1-0 23 W
26/04 Taipei City Tatung
Taiwan Premier League
1-0 1-1 63 D
19/04 Taiwan Power Company
Taiwan Premier League
0-0 1-0 63 W
12/04 Taichung Futuro
Taiwan Premier League
1-0 2-1 61 W
15/03 Taipei City Tatung
Taiwan Premier League
1-1 1-1 –– D

Taichung Rock FC

DWWDWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Taiwan Power Company
Taiwan Premier League
0-2 1-3 67 L
13/09 Kaohsiung Attackers FC
Taiwan Premier League
2-2 2-5 –– L
24/05 Ming Chuan University
Taiwan Premier League
1-0 3-0 45 W
17/05 AC Taipei
Taiwan Premier League
0-0 1-2 23 L
10/05 Tainan City
Taiwan Premier League
1-3 2-4 14 L
03/05 Taipei City Tatung
Taiwan Premier League
0-0 1-0 53 W
26/04 Taiwan Power Company
Taiwan Premier League
0-1 2-2 74 D
19/04 Taichung Futuro
Taiwan Premier League
0-0 1-0 32 W
12/04 Hang Yuen
Taiwan Premier League
2-0 2-0 24 W
08/03 Ming Chuan University
Taiwan Premier League
0-1 1-1 14 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Taipei vs Taichung Rock FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Taipei win (57%). Probabilities: AC Taipei 57%, draw 24%, Taichung Rock FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in AC Taipei vs Taichung Rock FC?

The model expects 2.9 goals (AC Taipei 1.88 · Taichung Rock FC 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Taipei vs Taichung Rock FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.