Football · Taiwan Premier League · 11/10, 10:30
Prediction: Taipei City Tatung vs Tainan City
Team pages: Taipei City Tatung · Tainan City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Taipei City Tatung0.91
Tainan City1.65
1X2
Taipei City Tatung
Draw
Tainan City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Taipei City Tatung
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Tainan City
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Taipei City Tatung
0–1–5
Tainan City
(6 last)
- Tainan City1-0Taipei City Tatung
- Tainan City2-1Taipei City Tatung
- Taipei City Tatung0-0Tainan City
- Taipei City Tatung0-5Tainan City
- Tainan City3-0Taipei City Tatung
- Taipei City Tatung0-3Tainan City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taipei City Tatung 1480 · Tainan City 1568
| Taipei City Tatung | Draw | Tainan City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 27% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tainan City (rating 1480 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Tainan City: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taipei City Tatung | Tainan City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 3.9 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taipei City Tatung 0–1–5 Tainan City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Taiwan Premier League | Tainan City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Taipei City Tatung |
| 30/11/25 Taiwan Premier League | Tainan City | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Taipei City Tatung |
| 24/08/25 Taiwan Premier League | Taipei City Tatung | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tainan City |
| 14/09/24 Taiwan Premier League | Taipei City Tatung | 0-5 HT 0-0 | Tainan City |
| 04/08/24 Taiwan Premier League | Tainan City | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Taipei City Tatung |
| 26/05/24 Taiwan Premier League | Taipei City Tatung | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tainan City |
Standings · Taiwan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaohsiung Attackers FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Taiwan Power Company | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Taipei City Tatung | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Hang Yuen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tainan City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | AC Taipei | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | Taichung Futuro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Taichung Rock FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Taipei City Tatung | Tainan City |
|---|---|---|
| Hang Yuen | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Taichung Futuro | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Taiwan Power Company | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Taichung Rock FC | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| AC Taipei | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Ming Chuan University | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tainan City (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taipei City Tatung
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Tainan City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
3-3 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taipei City Tatung vs Tainan City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tainan City win (55%). Probabilities: Taipei City Tatung 21%, draw 25%, Tainan City 55%.
How many goals are expected in Taipei City Tatung vs Tainan City?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Taipei City Tatung 0.91 · Tainan City 1.65), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Taipei City Tatung vs Tainan City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.