Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 20/09, 20:00
Prediction: FK Sarajevo vs FK Sloga Doboj
Team pages: FK Sarajevo · FK Sloga Doboj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
FK Sarajevo1.51
FK Sloga Doboj0.52
1X2
FK Sarajevo
Draw
FK Sloga Doboj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Sarajevo
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FK Sloga Doboj
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Sarajevo
5–1
FK Sloga Doboj
(6 last)
- FK Sarajevo4-0FK Sloga Doboj
- FK Sloga Doboj0-1FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo1-0FK Sloga Doboj
- FK Sloga Doboj2-1FK Sarajevo
- FK Sloga Doboj0-4FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo3-1FK Sloga Doboj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Sarajevo 1517 · FK Sloga Doboj 1475
| FK Sarajevo | Draw | FK Sloga Doboj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 28% | 12% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Sarajevo (rating 1517 vs 1475).
- H2H favours FK Sarajevo: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Sarajevo | FK Sloga Doboj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sarajevo 5–0–1 FK Sloga Doboj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FK Sloga Doboj |
| 15/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sloga Doboj | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 24/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Sloga Doboj |
| 09/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sloga Doboj | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 03/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sloga Doboj | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FK Sarajevo |
| 09/02/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup | FK Sarajevo | 3-1 HT 2-1 | FK Sloga Doboj |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Zeljeznicar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Siroki Brijeg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | FK Sloga Doboj | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Celik Zenica | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Sarajevo | FK Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Velez Mostar | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Zeljeznicar | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Siroki Brijeg | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| BSK Banja Luka | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Sarajevo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Sarajevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
FK Sloga Doboj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 01/09 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Sarajevo vs FK Sloga Doboj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Sarajevo win (62%). Probabilities: FK Sarajevo 62%, draw 25%, FK Sloga Doboj 13%.
How many goals are expected in FK Sarajevo vs FK Sloga Doboj?
The model expects 2.03 goals (FK Sarajevo 1.51 · FK Sloga Doboj 0.52), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Sarajevo vs FK Sloga Doboj?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.