Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 20/09, 17:00
Prediction: Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka
Team pages: Siroki Brijeg · Borac Banja Luka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Siroki Brijeg0.79
Borac Banja Luka1.79
1X2
Siroki Brijeg
Draw
Borac Banja Luka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Siroki Brijeg
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Borac Banja Luka
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Siroki Brijeg
0–6
Borac Banja Luka
(6 last)
- Siroki Brijeg0-1Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka5-1Siroki Brijeg
- Siroki Brijeg1-2Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka5-1Siroki Brijeg
- Siroki Brijeg0-1Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka3-0Siroki Brijeg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Siroki Brijeg 1473 · Borac Banja Luka 1606
| Siroki Brijeg | Draw | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 25% | 60% |
| Market | 16% | 24% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Banja Luka (rating 1473 vs 1606).
- H2H favours Borac Banja Luka: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Siroki Brijeg | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Siroki Brijeg 0–0–6 Borac Banja Luka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 07/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 23/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 31/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 03/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 17/03/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Siroki Brijeg |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Zeljeznicar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Siroki Brijeg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | FK Sloga Doboj | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Celik Zenica | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Siroki Brijeg | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|
| Zrinjski Mostar | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Sarajevo | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Zeljeznicar | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| NK Celik Zenica | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Sloga Doboj | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Borac Banja Luka (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siroki Brijeg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 22/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
Borac Banja Luka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 06/09 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Borac Banja Luka win (60%). Probabilities: Siroki Brijeg 15%, draw 24%, Borac Banja Luka 60%.
How many goals are expected in Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Siroki Brijeg 0.79 · Borac Banja Luka 1.79), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.