Football · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · 26/09, 22:15

Prediction: Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Yanapuma (W)

Team pages: Carlos Mannucci (W) · Yanapuma (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.9Total

Carlos Mannucci (W)2.01

Yanapuma (W)1.89

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Carlos Mannucci (W) Draw Yanapuma (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Carlos Mannucci (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Yanapuma (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Carlos Mannucci (W) 0–1 Yanapuma (W) (1 last)

Yanapuma (W)6-0Carlos Mannucci (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlos Mannucci (W) 1464 · Yanapuma (W) 1433

	Carlos Mannucci (W)	Draw	Yanapuma (W)
Our model	41%	22%	36%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carlos Mannucci (W)	Yanapuma (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.3 / 3.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2	3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 1.75 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.30 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +2’	2.25	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:29 +3’	2.30	3.37	2.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlos Mannucci (W) 0–0–1 Yanapuma (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	Yanapuma (W)	6-0	Carlos Mannucci (W)

Standings · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · Liga Femenina 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima (W)	9	9	0	0	32	2	27
2	Universitario de Deportes (W)	9	7	1	1	43	7	22
3	FBC Melgar (W)	9	7	0	2	28	9	21
4	Sporting Cristal (W)	10	7	0	3	24	10	21
5	Atletico Andahuaylas (W)	9	4	2	3	12	12	14
6	FC Killas (W)	10	4	0	6	8	20	12
7	Carlos Mannucci (W)	9	3	1	5	11	28	10
8	Flamengo FBC (W)	10	2	1	7	8	20	7
9	Yanapuma (W)	9	2	0	7	12	33	6
10	Defensores Del Ilucan (W)	9	2	0	7	8	36	6
11	UNSAAC (W)	9	1	1	7	8	17	4
12	Biavo FC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carlos Mannucci (W)	Yanapuma (W)
FBC Melgar (W)	1-2 L	1-4 L
Sporting Cristal (W)	1-2 L	0-6 L
Defensores Del Ilucan (W)	1-0 W	3-2 W
Alianza Lima (W)	0-6 L	0-2 L
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)	0-3 L	3-1 W
UNSAAC (W)	3-1 W	1-4 L
FC Killas (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
Flamengo FBC (W)	2-2 D	0-3 L
Universitario de Deportes (W)	0-12 L	3-9 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Carlos Mannucci (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlos Mannucci (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
13/09	Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
28/08	Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
23/08	Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	0-6	1	3	L
16/08	Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
05/08	FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	3-0	4	5	W
01/08	Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	2-2	3	4	D
22/07	Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	0-3	0-12	0	1	L
14/06	Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	0-6	–	–	L

Yanapuma (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
12/09	UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	1-4	–	–	L
05/09	Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	3-9	–	–	L
29/08	Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	3-2	5	5	W
09/08	Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	0-0	0-2	0	1	L
06/08	FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	1-4	–	–	L
30/07	Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	0-6	–	–	L
21/06	Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women	–	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Yanapuma (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carlos Mannucci (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Carlos Mannucci (W) 40%, draw 24%, Yanapuma (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Yanapuma (W)?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Carlos Mannucci (W) 2.01 · Yanapuma (W) 1.89), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Carlos Mannucci (W) vs Yanapuma (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.