Football · UAE Pro League · 16/10, 17:45

Prediction: Baniyas SC vs Al Wasl SC

Team pages: Baniyas SC · Al Wasl SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Baniyas SC1.34

Al Wasl SC2.34

1X2

20% 21% 59%

Baniyas SC Draw Al Wasl SC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Baniyas SC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLLLLD

Al Wasl SC 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWD

Head-to-head

Baniyas SC 1–2–3 Al Wasl SC (6 last)

Baniyas SC2-0Al Wasl SC
Al Wasl SC2-0Baniyas SC
Al Wasl SC3-1Baniyas SC
Baniyas SC0-0Al Wasl SC
Baniyas SC0-0Al Wasl SC
Al Wasl SC3-1Baniyas SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Baniyas SC 1476 · Al Wasl SC 1576

	Baniyas SC	Draw	Al Wasl SC
Our model	20%	21%	59%
Market	20%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Wasl SC (rating 1476 vs 1576).
H2H favours Al Wasl SC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Baniyas SC	Al Wasl SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	2.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.4	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.10

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 4.50▼	Pinn 5.16
X	4.33 → 4.10▼	Pinn 4.74 ★
2	1.44 → 1.53▲	Pinn 1.53

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +2’	5.25	4.33	1.44
06:56 +7’	5.25	4.50▲	1.42▼
15:14 +5’	4.50▼	4.10▼	1.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:37 +30’	5.62	4.79	1.43
01:12 +55’	5.73▲	4.87▲	1.44▲
17:48 +17’	5.84▲	4.95▲	1.45▲
05:48 +15’	5.90▲	4.99▲	1.45▲
06:50 +13’	6.01▲	5.17▲	1.43▼
09:50 +15’	6.03▲	5.19▲	1.43▼
11:04 +2’	6.00▼	5.14▼	1.44▲
14:54 +26’	5.16▼	4.74▼	1.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Baniyas SC 1–2–3 Al Wasl SC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 UAE Pro League	Baniyas SC	2-0 HT 2-0	Al Wasl SC
17/08/25 UAE Pro League	Al Wasl SC	2-0 HT 1-0	Baniyas SC
20/05/25 UAE Pro League	Al Wasl SC	3-1 HT 1-0	Baniyas SC
11/01/25 UAE Pro League	Baniyas SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Wasl SC
30/12/24 UAE Cup	Baniyas SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Wasl SC
22/12/24 UAE Cup	Al Wasl SC	3-1 HT 1-0	Baniyas SC

Standings · UAE Pro League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Jazira SC	5	4	1	0	11	2	13
2	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	6	4	1	1	12	5	13
3	Al Wasl SC	6	4	1	1	17	6	13
4	Al Ain SCC	6	4	1	1	12	7	13
5	Ajman SCC	5	3	0	2	11	12	9
6	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	5	3	0	2	6	5	9
7	Sharjah SCC	5	3	0	2	10	7	9
8	Al Nasr SC	6	2	2	2	8	7	8
9	Dubai United	6	2	1	3	13	18	7
10	Al Dhafra SCC	6	2	0	4	8	10	6
11	Al Ittihad Kalba	5	1	1	3	6	13	4
11	Khor Fakkan	5	1	1	3	5	12	4
13	Hatta Dubai	6	1	0	5	5	13	3
14	Baniyas SC	6	0	1	5	5	12	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Baniyas SC	Al Wasl SC
Khor Fakkan	0-0 D	5-2 W
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	1-2 L	3-2 W
Dubai United	2-3 L	5-1 W
Al Ain SCC	2-4 L	2-2 D
Al Jazira SC	1-4 L	2-1 W
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	2-2 D	0-1 L
Al Ittihad Kalba	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Wasl SC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Baniyas SC

DWDDLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Khor Fakkan UAE Pro League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
05/09	Hatta Dubai UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	9	3	L
30/08	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi UAE Pro League	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
23/08	Dubai United UAE Pro League	0-1	2-3	9	1	L
16/08	Al Ain SCC UAE Pro League	2-1	2-4	2	4	L
16/05	Al Jazira SC UAE Pro League	1-4	1-4	4	7	L
10/05	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League	1-2	2-2	3	4	D
05/05	Al Dhafra SCC UAE Pro League	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
23/04	Al Ittihad Kalba UAE Pro League	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/04	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	0-1	1-1	6	6	D

Al Wasl SC

WWWWWWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Al Ain SCC UAE Pro League	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
04/09	Khor Fakkan UAE Pro League	2-0	5-2	7	2	W
28/08	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
21/08	Al Ittihad Kalba UAE Pro League	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
15/08	Dubai United UAE Pro League	1-1	5-1	4	0	W
15/05	Al Ittihad Kalba UAE Pro League	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
11/05	Al Jazira SC UAE Pro League	0-1	2-1	2	8	W
06/05	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi UAE Pro League	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
24/04	Dibba Al Fujairah UAE Pro League	3-1	4-2	12	4	W
11/04	Ajman SCC UAE Pro League	1-0	3-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Baniyas SC vs Al Wasl SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Wasl SC win (59%). Probabilities: Baniyas SC 20%, draw 21%, Al Wasl SC 59%.

How many goals are expected in Baniyas SC vs Al Wasl SC?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Baniyas SC 1.34 · Al Wasl SC 2.34), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Baniyas SC vs Al Wasl SC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.