Football · UAE Pro League · 18/10, 15:05

Prediction: Khor Fakkan vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

Team pages: Khor Fakkan · Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Khor Fakkan1

Al Wahda Abu Dhabi1.91

1X2

19% 24% 58%

Khor Fakkan Draw Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Khor Fakkan 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDDLLLWLD

Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Khor Fakkan 0–2–4 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi (6 last)

Khor Fakkan1-1Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi1-0Khor Fakkan
Khor Fakkan1-2Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi2-2Khor Fakkan
Al Wahda Abu Dhabi3-1Khor Fakkan
Khor Fakkan0-1Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Khor Fakkan 1413 · Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1536

	Khor Fakkan	Draw	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Our model	18%	24%	58%
Market	19%	23%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Wahda Abu Dhabi (rating 1413 vs 1536).
H2H favours Al Wahda Abu Dhabi: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Khor Fakkan	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.75

X3.80

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.77

2 (-1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.30
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.28 ★
2	1.53 → 1.53	Pinn 1.58

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +21’	4.75	3.80	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +12’	5.07	4.07	1.55
10:45 +46’	5.16▲	4.12▲	1.57▲
15:06 +121’	5.25▲	4.18▲	1.58▲
03:05 +6’	5.30▲	4.21▲	1.59▲
07:00 +7’	5.30	4.28▲	1.58▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Khor Fakkan 0–2–4 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/05/26 UAE Pro League	Khor Fakkan	1-1 HT 1-0	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
28/12/25 UAE Pro League	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	1-0 HT 1-0	Khor Fakkan
30/11/25 UAE Cup	Khor Fakkan	1-2 HT 1-0	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
15/11/25 UAE Cup	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	2-2 HT 0-0	Khor Fakkan
08/02/25 UAE Pro League	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	3-1 HT 1-1	Khor Fakkan
30/08/24 UAE Pro League	Khor Fakkan	0-1 HT 0-1	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

Standings · UAE Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Jazira SC	5	4	1	0	11	2	13
2	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	6	4	1	1	12	5	13
3	Al Wasl SC	6	4	1	1	17	6	13
4	Al Ain SCC	6	4	1	1	12	7	13
5	Ajman SCC	5	3	0	2	11	12	9
6	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	5	3	0	2	6	5	9
7	Sharjah SCC	5	3	0	2	10	7	9
8	Al Nasr SC	6	2	2	2	8	7	8
9	Dubai United	6	2	1	3	13	18	7
10	Al Dhafra SCC	6	2	0	4	8	10	6
11	Al Ittihad Kalba	5	1	1	3	6	13	4
11	Khor Fakkan	5	1	1	3	5	12	4
13	Hatta Dubai	6	1	0	5	5	13	3
14	Baniyas SC	6	0	1	5	5	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Khor Fakkan	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi
Baniyas SC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Al Wasl SC	2-5 L	2-3 L
Al Dhafra SCC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Sharjah SCC	1-3 L	1-0 W
Al Ittihad Kalba	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Wahda Abu Dhabi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Khor Fakkan

DDDDLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Baniyas SC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
04/09	Al Wasl SC UAE Pro League	0-2	2-5	4	2	L
29/08	Al Dhafra SCC UAE Pro League	0-0	2-0	1	2	W
22/08	Al Ain SCC UAE Pro League	0-2	0-2	1	0	L
15/08	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League	1-0	1-5	0	1	L
15/05	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
11/05	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi UAE Pro League	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
05/05	Al Ittihad Kalba UAE Pro League	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
29/04	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League	2-1	3-3	3	4	D
11/04	Al Bataeh UAE Pro League	0-0	1-1	8	5	D

Al Wahda Abu Dhabi

DWLDLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
06/09	Al Dhafra SCC UAE Pro League	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
30/08	Baniyas SC UAE Pro League	1-1	2-1	9	3	W
21/08	Al Nasr SC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
14/08	Ajman SCC UAE Pro League	0-1	2-3	5	4	L
16/05	Al Dhafra SCC UAE Pro League	0-0	0-1	1	11	L
11/05	Khor Fakkan UAE Pro League	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
06/05	Al Wasl SC UAE Pro League	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
23/04	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
09/04	Al Ittihad Kalba UAE Pro League	2-0	2-2	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khor Fakkan vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Wahda Abu Dhabi win (58%). Probabilities: Khor Fakkan 19%, draw 24%, Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 58%.

How many goals are expected in Khor Fakkan vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Khor Fakkan 1 · Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Khor Fakkan vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.