Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: SCU Torreense vs Leixoes

Team pages: SCU Torreense · Leixoes

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

SCU Torreense1.48

Leixoes1.16

1X2

43% 28% 28%

SCU Torreense Draw Leixoes

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SCU Torreense 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLDDLW

Leixoes 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

SCU Torreense 1–4–1 Leixoes (6 last)

SCU Torreense1-1Leixoes
Leixoes1-0SCU Torreense
SCU Torreense3-2Leixoes
Leixoes1-1SCU Torreense
Leixoes1-1SCU Torreense
SCU Torreense0-0Leixoes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SCU Torreense 1493 · Leixoes 1563

	SCU Torreense	Draw	Leixoes
Our model	43%	28%	28%
Market	43%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leixoes (rating 1493 vs 1563).
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SCU Torreense	Leixoes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	5.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 17:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.41
X	3.25 → 2.90▼	Pinn 3.18 ★
2	3.80 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.14

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +3’	1.83	3.25	3.80
16:07 +4’	2.05▲	3.20▼	3.25▼
01:24 +8’	2.10▲	3.20	3.20▼
07:56 +21’	2.10	3.00▼	3.40▲
16:57 +6’	2.25▲	2.90▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:49 +323’	2.11	3.65	3.27
08:07 +11’	2.18▲	3.44▼	3.35▲
09:24 +57’	2.17▼	3.40▼	3.39▲
12:46 +6’	2.23▲	3.23▼	3.44▲
16:52 +11’	2.41▲	3.18▼	3.14▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SCU Torreense 1–4–1 Leixoes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Portugal Segunda Liga	SCU Torreense	1-1 HT 0-0	Leixoes
09/11/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Leixoes	1-0 HT 0-0	SCU Torreense
11/05/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	SCU Torreense	3-2 HT 1-2	Leixoes
12/01/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Leixoes	1-1 HT 0-0	SCU Torreense
14/04/24 Portugal Segunda Liga	Leixoes	1-1 HT 0-1	SCU Torreense
03/12/23 Portugal Segunda Liga	SCU Torreense	0-0 HT 0-0	Leixoes

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lusitania Lourosa	5	4	1	0	9	3	13
2	Sporting B	5	4	0	1	7	4	12
3	Benfica B	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
4	Penafiel	5	3	1	1	11	4	10
5	Vizela	5	3	1	1	5	2	10
6	Leixoes	6	3	1	2	8	6	10
7	UD Leiria	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
8	Academica	6	3	0	3	8	10	9
9	Tondela	6	3	0	3	7	6	9
10	SC Farense	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4	6	7
12	Felgueiras 1932	5	1	3	1	4	4	6
13	SCU Torreense	6	1	3	2	7	9	6
14	AVS	5	1	2	2	6	6	5
15	Amarante	5	1	1	3	3	6	4
16	FC Porto B	5	1	0	4	2	11	3
17	Chaves	4	0	1	3	4	9	1
18	Feirense	5	0	1	4	1	7	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SCU Torreense	Leixoes
Benfica B	2-0 W	0-1 L
Lusitania Lourosa	2-2 D	2-1 W
Maritimo	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SCU Torreense (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SCU Torreense

WDWWWLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
29/08	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	0-3	8	4	L
22/08	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
15/08	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	2-2	3	8	D
09/08	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
16/05	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	4-0	3	3	W
09/05	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
04/05	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	3-2	3-2	4	4	W
28/04	Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
18/04	Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

Leixoes

WWLWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga	2-0	3-1	1	6	W
29/08	Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
22/08	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	1-2	2-4	8	6	L
16/08	Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
10/08	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	8	8	L
17/05	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
09/05	Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
01/05	Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga	1-2	2-3	1	8	L
25/04	Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	2-0	11	4	W
20/04	FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga	3-0	3-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SCU Torreense vs Leixoes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SCU Torreense win (43%). Probabilities: SCU Torreense 43%, draw 28%, Leixoes 28%.

How many goals are expected in SCU Torreense vs Leixoes?

The model expects 2.63 goals (SCU Torreense 1.48 · Leixoes 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SCU Torreense vs Leixoes?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.