Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 06/09, 19:00
Prediction: UD Leiria vs Portimonense
Team pages: UD Leiria · Portimonense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
UD Leiria1.42
Portimonense1.2
1X2
UD Leiria
Draw
Portimonense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
UD Leiria
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Portimonense
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UD Leiria
4–2–0
Portimonense
(6 last)
- UD Leiria1-0Portimonense
- Portimonense1-1UD Leiria
- UD Leiria1-0Portimonense
- Portimonense0-3UD Leiria
- UD Leiria1-0Portimonense
- UD Leiria2-2Portimonense
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours UD Leiria: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UD Leiria | Portimonense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Leiria 4–2–0 Portimonense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Portimonense |
| 04/10/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Portimonense | 1-1 HT 1-0 | UD Leiria |
| 26/01/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Portimonense |
| 17/08/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | Portimonense | 0-3 HT 0-1 | UD Leiria |
| 20/11/20 Portugal Cup | UD Leiria | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Portimonense |
| 25/09/16 Portugal Cup | UD Leiria | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Portimonense |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania Lourosa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Academica | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | SC Farense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Penafiel | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Vizela | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | UD Leiria | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Felgueiras 1932 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Amarante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Tondela | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | SCU Torreense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 17 | Feirense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Chaves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UD Leiria | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Leixoes | 4-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Benfica B | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Vizela | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| SC Farense | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Penafiel | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Portimonense (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UD Leiria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Portimonense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UD Leiria vs Portimonense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Leiria win (41%). Probabilities: UD Leiria 41%, draw 29%, Portimonense 31%.
How many goals are expected in UD Leiria vs Portimonense?
The model expects 2.62 goals (UD Leiria 1.42 · Portimonense 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in UD Leiria vs Portimonense?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.