Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: Sporting B vs Lusitania Lourosa

Team pages: Sporting B · Lusitania Lourosa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Sporting B1.23
Lusitania Lourosa0.92
1X2
43% 30% 27%
Sporting B Draw Lusitania Lourosa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
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Lusitania Lourosa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLLWWDWW
Head-to-head
Sporting B 2–2 Lusitania Lourosa (4 last)
  • Lusitania Lourosa1-0Sporting B
  • Sporting B4-0Lusitania Lourosa
  • Lusitania Lourosa2-1Sporting B
  • Sporting B1-0Lusitania Lourosa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting B 1498 · Lusitania Lourosa 1531
Sporting BDrawLusitania Lourosa
Our model42%32%26%
Market43%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sporting BLusitania Lourosa
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.81.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.30.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.62.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.55.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting B 202 Lusitania Lourosa

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Portugal Segunda Liga
Lusitania Lourosa1-0
HT 1-0
Sporting B
25/10/25
Portugal Segunda Liga
Sporting B4-0
HT 2-0
Lusitania Lourosa
05/04/25
Portugal Liga 3
Lusitania Lourosa2-1
HT 2-0
Sporting B
07/02/25
Portugal Liga 3
Sporting B1-0
HT 1-0
Lusitania Lourosa

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lusitania Lourosa 5410 9313
2 Sporting B 5401 7412
3 Benfica B 6312 7510
4 Penafiel 5311 11410
5 Vizela 5311 5210
6 Leixoes 6312 8610
7 UD Leiria 5302 859
8 Academica 6303 8109
9 Tondela 6303 769
10 SC Farense 4211 757
11 Portimonense 6213 467
12 Felgueiras 1932 5131 446
13 SCU Torreense 6132 796
14 AVS 5122 665
15 Amarante 5113 364
16 FC Porto B 5104 2113
17 Chaves 4013 491
18 Feirense 5014 171

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSporting BLusitania Lourosa
AVS 1-0 W 2-1 W
FC Porto B 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Lusitania Lourosa (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting B

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Feirense
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 3-1 33 W
30/08 SC Farense
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 2-1 48 W
23/08 Penafiel
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 0-2 62 L
15/08 Chaves
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 1-0 27 W
09/08 AVS
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 1-0 43 W
16/05 Academico Viseu
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-0 23 D
09/05 FC Porto B
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 0-1 67 L
01/05 Benfica B
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-1 211 L
26/04 Vizela
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 0-1 35 L
20/04 Felgueiras 1932
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-1 42 L

Lusitania Lourosa

LWDLLWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 AVS
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-1 2-1 77 W
29/08 Academica
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 2-0 19 W
22/08 SCU Torreense
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 2-2 35 D
16/08 Amarante
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 1-0 24 W
10/08 FC Porto B
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 2-0 48 W
17/05 Leixoes
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 1-2 16 L
09/05 SCU Torreense
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 1-2 55 L
02/05 UD Oliveirense
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-0 63 D
26/04 Pacos Ferreira
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 2-0 47 W
19/04 Portimonense
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 2-3 96 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting B vs Lusitania Lourosa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting B win (43%). Probabilities: Sporting B 43%, draw 30%, Lusitania Lourosa 27%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting B vs Lusitania Lourosa?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Sporting B 1.23 · Lusitania Lourosa 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting B vs Lusitania Lourosa?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.