Football · Ghana Premier League · 27/09, 17:00

Prediction: Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars

Team pages: Asante Kotoko · Aduana Stars

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.86Total
Asante Kotoko1.33
Aduana Stars0.53
1X2
56% 29% 15%
Asante Kotoko Draw Aduana Stars
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Asante Kotoko 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLWLLDWD
Aduana Stars 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWDLDWLDLW
Head-to-head
Asante Kotoko 2–3–1 Aduana Stars (6 last)
  • Aduana Stars0-0Asante Kotoko
  • Asante Kotoko0-0Aduana Stars
  • Asante Kotoko1-1Aduana Stars
  • Asante Kotoko1-0Aduana Stars
  • Aduana Stars0-2Asante Kotoko
  • Aduana Stars2-1Asante Kotoko
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asante Kotoko 1467 · Aduana Stars 1477
Asante KotokoDrawAduana Stars
Our model55%31%14%
Market57%27%16%
Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Asante Kotoko: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Asante KotokoAduana Stars
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.70.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 3.22.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.23.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asante Kotoko 2–3–1 Aduana Stars

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Ghana Premier League
Aduana Stars0-0
HT 0-0
Asante Kotoko
08/02/26
Ghana FA Cup
Asante Kotoko0-0
HT 0-0
Aduana Stars
16/11/25
Ghana Premier League
Asante Kotoko1-1
HT 1-1
Aduana Stars
27/04/25
Ghana Premier League
Asante Kotoko1-0
HT 1-0
Aduana Stars
24/11/24
Ghana Premier League
Aduana Stars0-2
HT 0-1
Asante Kotoko
17/03/24
Ghana Premier League
Aduana Stars2-1
HT 1-1
Asante Kotoko

Standings · Ghana Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hearts of Oak 3210 617
2 Samartex 3210 527
3 Basake Holy Stars FC 3201 216
4 Asante Kotoko 3120 545
5 Ashanti Gold 3111 434
6 Swedru All Blacks Utd 3111 114
7 Port City FC Ghana 2110 324
8 Aduana Stars 3111 224
9 Bechem FC 3111 234
10 Debibi United 3111 534
11 Vision FC 3111 544
12 Karela United FC 3102 563
13 Bibiani Gold Stars 3102 453
14 Berekum Chelsea 3102 473
15 Young Apostles 3102 163
16 Medeama SC 2020 332
17 Heart of Lions 3021 122
18 Dreams 3012 581

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAsante KotokoAduana Stars
Samartex 1-1 D 0-1 L
Heart of Lions 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Asante Kotoko (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asante Kotoko

DLLLWLLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Samartex
Ghana Premier League
0-0 1-1 –– D
13/09 Heart of Lions
Ghana Premier League
1-0 2-1 78 W
06/09 Debibi United
Ghana Premier League
1-0 2-2 –– D
24/05 Swedru All Blacks Utd
Ghana Premier League
1-0 1-2 34 L
17/05 Bechem FC
Ghana Premier League
0-3 1-3 –– L
10/05 Eleven Wonders
Ghana Premier League
1-0 2-0 –– W
03/05 Dreams
Ghana Premier League
0-1 0-2 43 L
12/04 Medeama SC
Ghana Premier League
0-3 0-4 00 L
07/04 Samartex
Ghana Premier League
0-0 1-2 12 L
29/03 Aduana Stars
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-0 43 D

Aduana Stars

LWDLDWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Karela United FC
Ghana Premier League
1-0 2-1 34 W
13/09 Samartex
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-1 116 L
06/09 Heart of Lions
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-0 52 D
24/05 Vision FC
Ghana Premier League
0-1 0-3 05 L
17/05 Young Apostles
Ghana Premier League
1-1 3-1 41 W
10/05 Hearts of Oak
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-0 23 D
06/05 Basake Holy Stars FC
Ghana Premier League
0-1 0-2 00 L
03/05 Heart of Lions
Ghana Premier League
0-0 0-0 –– D
10/04 Bibiani Gold Stars
Ghana Premier League
0-0 2-1 75 W
05/04 Berekum Chelsea
Ghana Premier League
0-1 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Asante Kotoko win (56%). Probabilities: Asante Kotoko 56%, draw 29%, Aduana Stars 15%.

How many goals are expected in Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Asante Kotoko 1.33 · Aduana Stars 0.53), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.