Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 08/09, 14:00

Prediction: Perth SC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)

Team pages: Perth SC (W) · Fremantle City FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Perth SC (W)1.51

Fremantle City FC (W)1.1

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Perth SC (W) Draw Fremantle City FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Perth SC (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Fremantle City FC (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Perth SC (W) 3–2–1 Fremantle City FC (W) (6 last)

Fremantle City FC (W)2-1Perth SC (W)
Fremantle City FC (W)0-3Perth SC (W)
Perth SC (W)2-1Fremantle City FC (W)
Perth SC (W)0-0Fremantle City FC (W)
Fremantle City FC (W)0-2Perth SC (W)
Perth SC (W)1-1Fremantle City FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth SC (W) 1511 · Fremantle City FC (W) 1546

	Perth SC (W)	Draw	Fremantle City FC (W)
Our model	46%	28%	26%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Perth SC (W): 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth SC (W)	Fremantle City FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.2	3.3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.80

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.17 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:02 +2’	1.91	3.80	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:43 +21’	2.00	3.37	3.03
12:03 +8’	2.02▲	3.42▲	3.08▲
13:27 +2’	2.17▲	3.34▼	2.85▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC (W) 3–2–1 Fremantle City FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Perth SC (W)
22/07/26 Australia WA State Cup Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Perth SC (W)
28/06/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Fremantle City FC (W)
10/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Fremantle City FC (W)
13/07/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Perth SC (W)
11/05/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Fremantle City FC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	21	14	4	3	42	13	46
2	Balcatta FC (W)	21	13	6	2	49	18	45
3	Fremantle City FC (W)	21	13	4	4	45	20	43
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	21	7	6	8	32	29	27
5	Subiaco AFC (W)	21	8	2	11	32	42	26
6	Hyundai NTC Women	21	6	6	9	36	39	24
7	Sorrento (W)	21	3	4	14	18	50	13
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	21	2	4	15	9	52	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth SC (W)	Fremantle City FC (W)
Balcatta FC (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Perth Redstar FC (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Hyundai NTC Women	1-1 D	2-1 W
Subiaco AFC (W)	4-2 W	2-0 W
Sorrento (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth SC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
23/08	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
15/08	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	10	0	D
08/08	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
01/08	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
26/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-1	4-2	1	0	W
17/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
11/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-1	4-1	9	3	W
05/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
28/06	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	3	2	W

Fremantle City FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	10	1	W
23/08	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
16/08	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
08/08	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
02/08	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
29/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	14	0	L
19/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
12/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
04/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
28/06	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth SC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth SC (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Perth SC (W) 47%, draw 26%, Fremantle City FC (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in Perth SC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Perth SC (W) 1.51 · Fremantle City FC (W) 1.1), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth SC (W) vs Fremantle City FC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.