Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 05/09, 11:15

Prediction: Perth SC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)

Team pages: Perth SC (W) · Balcatta FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Perth SC (W)1.39

Balcatta FC (W)1.27

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Perth SC (W) Draw Balcatta FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Perth SC (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Balcatta FC (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Perth SC (W) 1–1–4 Balcatta FC (W) (6 last)

Perth SC (W)1-2Balcatta FC (W)
Balcatta FC (W)0-1Perth SC (W)
Perth SC (W)0-0Balcatta FC (W)
Perth SC (W)0-1Balcatta FC (W)
Balcatta FC (W)2-1Perth SC (W)
Perth SC (W)1-2Balcatta FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth SC (W) 1519 · Balcatta FC (W) 1623

	Perth SC (W)	Draw	Balcatta FC (W)
Our model	38%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Balcatta FC (W) (rating 1519 vs 1623).
H2H favours Balcatta FC (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Perth SC (W)	Balcatta FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	2.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.9 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.5	4.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 08:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.36 ★
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	2.80 → 2.60▼	Pinn 2.66

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:17 +2’	2.10	3.50	2.80
21:36 +43’	1.91▼	3.60▲	3.20▲
23:27 +2’	2.38▲	3.40▼	2.45▼
01:42 +50’	2.15▼	3.50▲	2.70▲
08:38 +18’	2.25▲	3.40▼	2.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:30 +2’	2.35	3.10	2.66
08:55 +1’	2.36▲	3.08▼	2.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC (W) 1–1–4 Balcatta FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Balcatta FC (W)
20/06/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Balcatta FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Perth SC (W)
17/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Balcatta FC (W)
15/03/26 Australia Friendlies	Perth SC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Balcatta FC (W)
27/02/26 Australia Friendlies	Balcatta FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Perth SC (W)
09/09/25 Australia WA Premier League Women	Perth SC (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Balcatta FC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	21	14	4	3	42	13	46
2	Balcatta FC (W)	21	13	6	2	49	18	45
3	Fremantle City FC (W)	21	13	4	4	45	20	43
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	21	7	6	8	32	29	27
5	Subiaco AFC (W)	21	8	2	11	32	42	26
6	Hyundai NTC Women	21	6	6	9	36	39	24
7	Sorrento (W)	21	3	4	14	18	50	13
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	21	2	4	15	9	52	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Perth SC (W)	Balcatta FC (W)
Perth Redstar FC (W)	0-2 L	5-1 W
Hyundai NTC Women	1-1 D	4-1 W
Fremantle City FC (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Subiaco AFC (W)	4-2 W	3-2 W
Sorrento (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	4-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Balcatta FC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth SC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
15/08	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	10	0	D
08/08	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
01/08	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
26/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-1	4-2	1	0	W
17/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
11/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-1	4-1	9	3	W
05/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
28/06	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
20/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W

Balcatta FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	2-0	7	0	W
16/08	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	1	0	D
07/08	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	3-2	12	0	W
01/08	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-1	7	2	W
25/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	5-1	5	2	W
19/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
12/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	3-0	4-1	5	0	W
05/07	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	11	1	D
28/06	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	3-0	8	3	W
20/06	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth SC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth SC (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Perth SC (W) 39%, draw 27%, Balcatta FC (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Perth SC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Perth SC (W) 1.39 · Balcatta FC (W) 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth SC (W) vs Balcatta FC (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.