Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 12/09, 08:30

Prediction: Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Team pages: Gold Coast Knights (W) · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Gold Coast Knights (W)1.66

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)1.3

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Gold Coast Knights (W) Draw Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gold Coast Knights (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWLWW

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Gold Coast Knights (W) 2–2–2 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) (6 last)

Gold Coast Knights (W)0-2Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)1-0Gold Coast Knights (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)2-3Gold Coast Knights (W)
Gold Coast Knights (W)1-1Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)3-3Gold Coast Knights (W)
Gold Coast Knights (W)2-1Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gold Coast Knights (W) 1565 · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1578

	Gold Coast Knights (W)	Draw	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Our model	45%	26%	29%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gold Coast Knights (W)	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 0.6	3.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.4	1.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 7.4	1.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0.2	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 1.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 01:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.08
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	3.25 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.29 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:06 +27’	1.91	3.50	3.25
20:10 +1’	1.80▼	3.60▲	3.60▲
02:06 +10’	1.80	3.40▼	3.75▲
17:22 +10’	1.95▲	3.30▼	3.25▼
00:59 +13’	2.00▲	3.40▲	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:41 +48’	2.05	3.34	3.15
15:40 +112’	2.02▼	3.31▼	3.25▲
00:50 +21’	2.08▲	3.13▼	3.29▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast Knights (W) 2–2–2 Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast Knights (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
08/05/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Gold Coast Knights (W)
07/03/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Gold Coast Knights (W)
29/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast Knights (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
10/06/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	3-3 HT 2-2	Gold Coast Knights (W)
28/02/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women	Gold Coast Knights (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

Standings · Australia NPL Queensland Women · Queensland NPL, Women 2026

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gold Coast Knights (W)	27	19	4	4	74	21	61
2	Lions FC (W)	27	18	4	5	71	24	58
3	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)	27	18	4	5	64	20	58
4	Brisbane City (W)	27	14	8	5	57	22	50
5	Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	27	11	8	8	40	34	41
6	Gold Coast United (W)	27	9	10	8	40	37	37
7	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	27	9	2	16	34	43	29
8	Capalaba (W)	27	8	2	17	35	61	26
9	FQ QAS Women	27	7	1	19	48	84	22
10	Souths United NPL (W)	27	0	1	26	15	132	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gold Coast Knights (W)	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)
Lions FC (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
Brisbane City (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Souths United NPL (W)	3-0 W	14-0 W
FQ QAS Women	6-0 W	3-0 W
Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gold Coast Knights (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gold Coast Knights (W)

WDWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
15/08	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	3-0	7	0	W
07/08	Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-2	0-2	9	0	L
04/08	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
01/08	Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
29/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
25/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	3-0	19	3	W
17/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-0	6-0	4	1	W
11/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
08/07	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	8-0	13-0	16	1	W

Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)

LLLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
29/08	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-0	2-2	5	0	D
15/08	Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	6-0	14-0	11	0	W
07/08	Gold Coast Knights (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	2-0	2-0	0	0	W
01/08	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
25/07	FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
19/07	Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
14/07	Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-0	0-1	9	0	L
11/07	Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	1-0	1-3	4	2	L
05/07	Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women	0-1	0-1	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gold Coast Knights (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Gold Coast Knights (W) 45%, draw 26%, Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Gold Coast Knights (W) 1.66 · Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Eastern Suburbs NPL (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.