Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 13/09, 04:00

Prediction: Bulls FC Academy (W) vs University NSW (W)

Team pages: Bulls FC Academy (W) · University NSW (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Bulls FC Academy (W)1.57

University NSW (W)1.17

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Bulls FC Academy (W) Draw University NSW (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bulls FC Academy (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

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University NSW (W) 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bulls FC Academy (W) 3–2–1 University NSW (W) (6 last)

Bulls FC Academy (W)1-0University NSW (W)
University NSW (W)4-0Bulls FC Academy (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)4-0University NSW (W)
University NSW (W)1-1Bulls FC Academy (W)
Bulls FC Academy (W)3-0University NSW (W)
University NSW (W)1-1Bulls FC Academy (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bulls FC Academy (W) 1589 · University NSW (W) 1558

	Bulls FC Academy (W)	Draw	University NSW (W)
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bulls FC Academy (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bulls FC Academy (W)	University NSW (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.05 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:10 +7’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +96’	2.03	3.31	3.02
02:02 +43’	2.05▲	3.36▲	3.07▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulls FC Academy (W) 3–2–1 University NSW (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	University NSW (W)
29/03/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Bulls FC Academy (W)
15/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	University NSW (W)
16/03/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Bulls FC Academy (W)
16/06/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Bulls FC Academy (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	University NSW (W)
17/03/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Bulls FC Academy (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	26	18	7	1	67	24	61
2	University NSW (W)	26	16	9	1	49	20	57
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	26	16	4	6	65	36	52
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	26	15	5	6	55	34	50
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	26	11	6	9	42	35	39
6	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	26	11	4	11	46	41	37
7	Macarthur Rams (W)	26	10	5	11	39	42	35
8	Manly Utd (W)	26	8	10	8	41	35	34
9	Sydney University (W)	26	8	8	10	50	47	32
10	Hills United FC (W)	26	8	4	14	33	35	28
11	Gladesville Ravens (W)	26	7	5	14	34	51	26
12	NWS Spirit (W)	26	8	2	16	33	79	26
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	26	4	7	15	21	46	19
14	Western City Rangers (W)	26	3	2	21	29	79	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bulls FC Academy (W)	University NSW (W)
Northern Tigers FC (W)	2-0 W	0-0 D
Manly Utd (W)	1-0 W	2-2 D
Sydney University (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
APIA Leichardt (W)	2-2 D	3-1 W
Gladesville Ravens (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bulls FC Academy (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bulls FC Academy (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	4-1	6-2	2	1	W
30/08	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
23/08	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
16/08	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
09/08	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
02/08	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
26/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
19/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	5-3	2	2	W
12/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
05/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W

University NSW (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-1	7	5	W
29/08	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
23/08	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-1	4	0	W
15/08	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
09/08	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
02/08	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	6	0	D
25/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
19/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	6	0	D
11/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
04/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs University NSW (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulls FC Academy (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Bulls FC Academy (W) 46%, draw 26%, University NSW (W) 28%.

How many goals are expected in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs University NSW (W)?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Bulls FC Academy (W) 1.57 · University NSW (W) 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bulls FC Academy (W) vs University NSW (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.