Football · Chile Tercera · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: Deportes Rancagua vs Naval

Team pages: Deportes Rancagua · Naval

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Deportes Rancagua1.71
Naval1.24
1X2
47% 27% 26%
Deportes Rancagua Draw Naval
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Rancagua 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDLWDWWWDW
Naval 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWDWDWWWL
Head-to-head
Deportes Rancagua 0–1 Naval (1 last)
  • Naval4-0Deportes Rancagua
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Rancagua 1561 · Naval 1560
Deportes RancaguaDrawNaval
Our model47%26%27%
Market47%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportes RancaguaNaval
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 11.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.51.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 62 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.75.9 / 0.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Rancagua 001 Naval

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Chile Tercera
Naval4-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Rancagua

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportes RancaguaNaval
Comunal Cabrero 5-1 W 0-4 L
Club Aguara 1-1 D 2-1 W
CD Constitucion Unido 2-1 W 3-2 W
Puente Alto 5-1 W 3-1 W
Chimbarongo FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
CD Imperial Unido 2-1 W 3-1 W
Rodelindo Roman 2-3 L 4-0 W
Quintero Unido 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 4 W 3 D 1 L 6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Naval (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Rancagua

WDLWDWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-1 5-1 114 W
16/08 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 107 D
08/08 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-1 610 W
01/08 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
4-0 5-1 74 W
26/07 Taichung Futuro
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 58 W
11/07 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 45 D
27/06 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-1 58 W
20/06 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-3 66 L
13/06 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 49 D
06/06 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-0 23 W

Naval

LWWDWDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-2 0-4 611 L
08/08 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-1 811 W
05/08 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
2-0 3-2 63 W
25/07 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
1-1 3-1 45 W
12/07 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 45 D
04/07 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 26 W
27/06 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 66 D
21/06 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
3-0 3-1 78 W
13/06 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
3-0 4-0 36 W
06/06 Quintero Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 76 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Rancagua vs Naval?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Rancagua win (47%). Probabilities: Deportes Rancagua 47%, draw 27%, Naval 26%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Rancagua vs Naval?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Deportes Rancagua 1.71 · Naval 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Rancagua vs Naval?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.