Football · Chile Tercera · 05/09, 22:00

Prediction: CD Constitucion Unido vs Malleco Unido

Team pages: CD Constitucion Unido · Malleco Unido

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
CD Constitucion Unido1.26
Malleco Unido1.77
1X2
26% 25% 48%
CD Constitucion Unido Draw Malleco Unido
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Constitucion Unido 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDDWLLWL
Malleco Unido 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWDWWDLW
Head-to-head
CD Constitucion Unido 2–1 Malleco Unido (3 last)
  • Malleco Unido2-3CD Constitucion Unido
  • CD Constitucion Unido1-0Malleco Unido
  • Malleco Unido1-0CD Constitucion Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Constitucion Unido 1488 · Malleco Unido 1554
CD Constitucion UnidoDrawMalleco Unido
Our model26%25%48%
Market26%26%48%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malleco Unido (rating 1488 vs 1554).
  • H2H favours CD Constitucion Unido: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Constitucion UnidoMalleco Unido
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.61.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.22.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.95.8 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Constitucion Unido 201 Malleco Unido

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Chile Tercera
Malleco Unido2-3
HT 1-1
CD Constitucion Unido
09/08/25
Chile Tercera
CD Constitucion Unido1-0
HT 0-0
Malleco Unido
27/04/25
Chile Tercera
Malleco Unido1-0
HT 0-0
CD Constitucion Unido

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Constitucion UnidoMalleco Unido
Futuro FC 0-4 L 4-1 W
Puente Alto 2-1 W 2-1 W
Naval 2-3 L 1-1 D
Rodelindo Roman 1-1 D 2-1 W
Comunal Cabrero 0-1 L 1-1 D
Club Aguara 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Malleco Unido (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Constitucion Unido

LLWDDWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-3 0-4 L
15/08 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
0-0 2-1 28 W
08/08 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-2 510 L
05/08 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-2 2-3 123 L
26/07 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 39 W
11/07 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-2 103 D
04/07 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-1 15 D
13/06 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
2-0 5-0 38 W
06/06 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 36 L
30/05 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 89 L

Malleco Unido

LDWWDWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-1 2-1 79 W
15/08 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 610 L
05/08 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 45 D
25/07 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 82 W
12/07 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 35 W
27/06 Naval
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 66 D
14/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
2-1 4-1 23 W
03/05 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 38 W
24/04 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 76 D
19/04 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-3 710 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Constitucion Unido vs Malleco Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Malleco Unido win (48%). Probabilities: CD Constitucion Unido 26%, draw 25%, Malleco Unido 48%.

How many goals are expected in CD Constitucion Unido vs Malleco Unido?

The model expects 3.04 goals (CD Constitucion Unido 1.26 · Malleco Unido 1.77), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Constitucion Unido vs Malleco Unido?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.